**Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster holds a commanding position in Illinois’ 11th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The suburban Chicago district, encompassing areas such as Naperville, Aurora, and parts of DuPage, Kane, and Will counties, carries a D+6 Partisan Voter Index and has trended Democratic in recent cycles, with Foster securing 55.6% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Foster faces no Democratic primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, reporting over $2.5 million in cash on hand compared with Republican nominee Jeffrey Walter’s roughly $23,000. Walter, the mayor of Elburn and a retired Navy veteran, emerged from a fragmented four-way GOP primary but has not closed the structural gap. Election analysts cite consistent Democratic performance in the district’s suburban and exurban precincts, combined with Foster’s long tenure since 2013 and committee roles, as the primary drivers behind the market’s 95.5% Democratic consensus. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event, such as a significant scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican tailwind that overcomes the district’s baseline lean. Absent such developments, the seat’s fundamentals point to continued Democratic control.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIL-11 House Election Winner
IL-11 House Election Winner
$40,033 Vol.
$40,033 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$40,033 Vol.
$40,033 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$19,900 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$20,133 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster holds a commanding position in Illinois’ 11th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The suburban Chicago district, encompassing areas such as Naperville, Aurora, and parts of DuPage, Kane, and Will counties, carries a D+6 Partisan Voter Index and has trended Democratic in recent cycles, with Foster securing 55.6% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic.
Foster faces no Democratic primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, reporting over $2.5 million in cash on hand compared with Republican nominee Jeffrey Walter’s roughly $23,000. Walter, the mayor of Elburn and a retired Navy veteran, emerged from a fragmented four-way GOP primary but has not closed the structural gap. Election analysts cite consistent Democratic performance in the district’s suburban and exurban precincts, combined with Foster’s long tenure since 2013 and committee roles, as the primary drivers behind the market’s 95.5% Democratic consensus.
A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event, such as a significant scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican tailwind that overcomes the district’s baseline lean. Absent such developments, the seat’s fundamentals point to continued Democratic control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$40,033Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster holds a commanding position in Illinois’ 11th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The suburban Chicago district, encompassing areas such as Naperville, Aurora, and parts of DuPage, Kane, and Will counties, carries a D+6 Partisan Voter Index and has trended Democratic in recent cycles, with Foster securing 55.6% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic.
Foster faces no Democratic primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, reporting over $2.5 million in cash on hand compared with Republican nominee Jeffrey Walter’s roughly $23,000. Walter, the mayor of Elburn and a retired Navy veteran, emerged from a fragmented four-way GOP primary but has not closed the structural gap. Election analysts cite consistent Democratic performance in the district’s suburban and exurban precincts, combined with Foster’s long tenure since 2013 and committee roles, as the primary drivers behind the market’s 95.5% Democratic consensus.
A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event, such as a significant scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican tailwind that overcomes the district’s baseline lean. Absent such developments, the seat’s fundamentals point to continued Democratic control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,033Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster holds a commanding position in Illinois’ 11th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The suburban Chicago district, encompassing areas such as Naperville, Aurora, and parts of DuPage, Kane, and Will counties, carries a D+6 Partisan Voter Index and has trended Democratic in recent cycles, with Foster securing 55.6% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Foster faces no Democratic primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, reporting over $2.5 million in cash on hand compared with Republican nominee Jeffrey Walter’s roughly $23,000. Walter, the mayor of Elburn and a retired Navy veteran, emerged from a fragmented four-way GOP primary but has not closed the structural gap. Election analysts cite consistent Democratic performance in the district’s suburban and exurban precincts, combined with Foster’s long tenure since 2013 and committee roles, as the primary drivers behind the market’s 95.5% Democratic consensus. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event, such as a significant scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican tailwind that overcomes the district’s baseline lean. Absent such developments, the seat’s fundamentals point to continued Democratic control.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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