Incumbent Democratic Representative Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in New York’s 5th congressional district on November 3. The Southeast Queens district’s D+24 partisan voter index and Meeks’s 73 percent 2024 reelection margin underpin the 96.8 percent Democratic implied probability. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns and minimal Republican infrastructure. Meeks ran unopposed in the June primary with substantial fundraising, while the Republican nominee raised nothing and drew no notable endorsements or national attention. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts indicate limited volatility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-05
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-05
$63,526 Vol.
$63,526 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Gregory Meeks (D)
97%
George Marsh (R)
1%
$63,526 Vol.
$63,526 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Gregory Meeks (D)
$21,339 Vol.
97%
George Marsh (R)
$42,187 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in New York’s 5th congressional district on November 3. The Southeast Queens district’s D+24 partisan voter index and Meeks’s 73 percent 2024 reelection margin underpin the 96.8 percent Democratic implied probability. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns and minimal Republican infrastructure. Meeks ran unopposed in the June primary with substantial fundraising, while the Republican nominee raised nothing and drew no notable endorsements or national attention. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts indicate limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$63,526Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in New York’s 5th congressional district on November 3. The Southeast Queens district’s D+24 partisan voter index and Meeks’s 73 percent 2024 reelection margin underpin the 96.8 percent Democratic implied probability. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns and minimal Republican infrastructure. Meeks ran unopposed in the June primary with substantial fundraising, while the Republican nominee raised nothing and drew no notable endorsements or national attention. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts indicate limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$63,526Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in New York’s 5th congressional district on November 3. The Southeast Queens district’s D+24 partisan voter index and Meeks’s 73 percent 2024 reelection margin underpin the 96.8 percent Democratic implied probability. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns and minimal Republican infrastructure. Meeks ran unopposed in the June primary with substantial fundraising, while the Republican nominee raised nothing and drew no notable endorsements or national attention. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts indicate limited volatility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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