Incumbent Democrat Grace Meng’s renomination after defeating a primary challenger and the district’s consistent Democratic partisan lean in Queens underpin the strong trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical vote margins, voter registration patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. Joseph Chou’s Republican candidacy faces structural headwinds typical of the district’s electoral math. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually large national swing could still shift outcomes, though such factors have rarely overcome the baseline advantages in comparable safe seats.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNY-06 House Election Winner
NY-06 House Election Winner
$21,579 Vol.
$21,579 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Grace Meng (D)
95%
Joseph Chou (R)
6%
$21,579 Vol.
$21,579 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Grace Meng (D)
$10,007 Vol.
95%
Joseph Chou (R)
$11,572 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Grace Meng’s renomination after defeating a primary challenger and the district’s consistent Democratic partisan lean in Queens underpin the strong trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical vote margins, voter registration patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. Joseph Chou’s Republican candidacy faces structural headwinds typical of the district’s electoral math. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually large national swing could still shift outcomes, though such factors have rarely overcome the baseline advantages in comparable safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$21,579Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Grace Meng’s renomination after defeating a primary challenger and the district’s consistent Democratic partisan lean in Queens underpin the strong trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical vote margins, voter registration patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. Joseph Chou’s Republican candidacy faces structural headwinds typical of the district’s electoral math. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually large national swing could still shift outcomes, though such factors have rarely overcome the baseline advantages in comparable safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,579Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Grace Meng’s renomination after defeating a primary challenger and the district’s consistent Democratic partisan lean in Queens underpin the strong trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical vote margins, voter registration patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. Joseph Chou’s Republican candidacy faces structural headwinds typical of the district’s electoral math. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually large national swing could still shift outcomes, though such factors have rarely overcome the baseline advantages in comparable safe seats.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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