Jamie Ager holds a 60.5% implied probability in the NC-11 race while Jennifer Balkcom sits at 36.5%, reflecting trader assessment of a competitive but Democratic-leaning contest in a district with a Republican tilt. Ager benefits from early and sustained campaigning, a substantial cash advantage exceeding $2 million, and emphasis on Helene recovery and local agricultural concerns after winning his primary. Balkcom, selected by Republican committee on August 10 to replace incumbent Chuck Edwards following his withdrawal amid ethics findings and censure, entered with limited time and initial fundraising. She received a Trump endorsement and NRCC support, released her first campaign ad on September 10 highlighting her farming background, and shares Ager’s emphasis on certain agriculture issues from their late-August forum. The late nomination and shorter runway for voter outreach remain central factors in current positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$15,862 Vol.
$15,862 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Jamie Ager (D)
63%
Jennifer Balkcom (R)
37%
$15,862 Vol.
$15,862 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Jamie Ager (D)
$7,358 Vol.
63%
Jennifer Balkcom (R)
$8,504 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jamie Ager holds a 60.5% implied probability in the NC-11 race while Jennifer Balkcom sits at 36.5%, reflecting trader assessment of a competitive but Democratic-leaning contest in a district with a Republican tilt. Ager benefits from early and sustained campaigning, a substantial cash advantage exceeding $2 million, and emphasis on Helene recovery and local agricultural concerns after winning his primary. Balkcom, selected by Republican committee on August 10 to replace incumbent Chuck Edwards following his withdrawal amid ethics findings and censure, entered with limited time and initial fundraising. She received a Trump endorsement and NRCC support, released her first campaign ad on September 10 highlighting her farming background, and shares Ager’s emphasis on certain agriculture issues from their late-August forum. The late nomination and shorter runway for voter outreach remain central factors in current positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$15,862Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jamie Ager holds a 60.5% implied probability in the NC-11 race while Jennifer Balkcom sits at 36.5%, reflecting trader assessment of a competitive but Democratic-leaning contest in a district with a Republican tilt. Ager benefits from early and sustained campaigning, a substantial cash advantage exceeding $2 million, and emphasis on Helene recovery and local agricultural concerns after winning his primary. Balkcom, selected by Republican committee on August 10 to replace incumbent Chuck Edwards following his withdrawal amid ethics findings and censure, entered with limited time and initial fundraising. She received a Trump endorsement and NRCC support, released her first campaign ad on September 10 highlighting her farming background, and shares Ager’s emphasis on certain agriculture issues from their late-August forum. The late nomination and shorter runway for voter outreach remain central factors in current positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,862Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Jamie Ager holds a 60.5% implied probability in the NC-11 race while Jennifer Balkcom sits at 36.5%, reflecting trader assessment of a competitive but Democratic-leaning contest in a district with a Republican tilt. Ager benefits from early and sustained campaigning, a substantial cash advantage exceeding $2 million, and emphasis on Helene recovery and local agricultural concerns after winning his primary. Balkcom, selected by Republican committee on August 10 to replace incumbent Chuck Edwards following his withdrawal amid ethics findings and censure, entered with limited time and initial fundraising. She received a Trump endorsement and NRCC support, released her first campaign ad on September 10 highlighting her farming background, and shares Ager’s emphasis on certain agriculture issues from their late-August forum. The late nomination and shorter runway for voter outreach remain central factors in current positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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