Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat centered on New Orleans, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index in the D+17 to D+25 range based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Representative Troy Carter faces primary opposition from fellow Democrat Renada Collins and a limited Republican field in the November 3 open primary, after which a December 12 runoff would occur only if no candidate clears 50 percent. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns, the absence of viable GOP challengers, and the district’s urban core. Trader consensus at 98.6 percent for a Democratic winner aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal affecting Carter or an unexpected surge in Republican turnout could narrow margins but would need to overcome the district’s established partisan baseline to alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLA-02 Vincitore delle elezioni alla Camera
LA-02 Vincitore delle elezioni alla Camera
$61,161 Vol.
$61,161 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
99%
Partito Repubblicano
1%
$61,161 Vol.
$61,161 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$34,835 Vol.
99%
Partito Repubblicano
$26,326 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat centered on New Orleans, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index in the D+17 to D+25 range based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Representative Troy Carter faces primary opposition from fellow Democrat Renada Collins and a limited Republican field in the November 3 open primary, after which a December 12 runoff would occur only if no candidate clears 50 percent. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns, the absence of viable GOP challengers, and the district’s urban core. Trader consensus at 98.6 percent for a Democratic winner aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal affecting Carter or an unexpected surge in Republican turnout could narrow margins but would need to overcome the district’s established partisan baseline to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$61,161Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat centered on New Orleans, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index in the D+17 to D+25 range based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Representative Troy Carter faces primary opposition from fellow Democrat Renada Collins and a limited Republican field in the November 3 open primary, after which a December 12 runoff would occur only if no candidate clears 50 percent. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns, the absence of viable GOP challengers, and the district’s urban core. Trader consensus at 98.6 percent for a Democratic winner aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal affecting Carter or an unexpected surge in Republican turnout could narrow margins but would need to overcome the district’s established partisan baseline to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$61,161Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat centered on New Orleans, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index in the D+17 to D+25 range based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Representative Troy Carter faces primary opposition from fellow Democrat Renada Collins and a limited Republican field in the November 3 open primary, after which a December 12 runoff would occur only if no candidate clears 50 percent. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns, the absence of viable GOP challengers, and the district’s urban core. Trader consensus at 98.6 percent for a Democratic winner aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal affecting Carter or an unexpected surge in Republican turnout could narrow margins but would need to overcome the district’s established partisan baseline to alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti