Steve Scalise, the longtime Republican incumbent and House Majority Leader, anchors the commanding 96% Republican probability in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district. The seat sits in a solidly Republican area with a consistent partisan lean exceeding R+19, where the party has held the seat for over a decade and Scalise posted 66.8% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. Scalise maintains a decisive edge in fundraising and name recognition against Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and fellow Republican Randall Arrington ahead of the November 3 open primary. Democratic prospects remain limited by the district’s voter composition and the absence of recent developments that would alter its structural tilt. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen primary disruption represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera LA-01
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera LA-01
$52,223 Vol.
$52,223 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
96%
Partito Democratico
5%
$52,223 Vol.
$52,223 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$22,399 Vol.
96%
Partito Democratico
$29,823 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steve Scalise, the longtime Republican incumbent and House Majority Leader, anchors the commanding 96% Republican probability in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district. The seat sits in a solidly Republican area with a consistent partisan lean exceeding R+19, where the party has held the seat for over a decade and Scalise posted 66.8% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. Scalise maintains a decisive edge in fundraising and name recognition against Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and fellow Republican Randall Arrington ahead of the November 3 open primary. Democratic prospects remain limited by the district’s voter composition and the absence of recent developments that would alter its structural tilt. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen primary disruption represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$52,223Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steve Scalise, the longtime Republican incumbent and House Majority Leader, anchors the commanding 96% Republican probability in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district. The seat sits in a solidly Republican area with a consistent partisan lean exceeding R+19, where the party has held the seat for over a decade and Scalise posted 66.8% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. Scalise maintains a decisive edge in fundraising and name recognition against Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and fellow Republican Randall Arrington ahead of the November 3 open primary. Democratic prospects remain limited by the district’s voter composition and the absence of recent developments that would alter its structural tilt. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen primary disruption represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$52,223Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Steve Scalise, the longtime Republican incumbent and House Majority Leader, anchors the commanding 96% Republican probability in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district. The seat sits in a solidly Republican area with a consistent partisan lean exceeding R+19, where the party has held the seat for over a decade and Scalise posted 66.8% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. Scalise maintains a decisive edge in fundraising and name recognition against Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and fellow Republican Randall Arrington ahead of the November 3 open primary. Democratic prospects remain limited by the district’s voter composition and the absence of recent developments that would alter its structural tilt. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen primary disruption represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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