Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in New Jersey's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by his five-term tenure, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million, and the district's modest Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index. Uncontested primaries for both parties in June 2026 cleared the path for Gottheimer against Republican nominee Sean Kirrane, whose campaign has raised under $50,000 and lacks broad institutional backing. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Likely Democratic, consistent with the seat's recent history of Democratic holds. Trader pricing at 89% for Democrats versus 11% for Republicans captures this structural advantage and the absence of major recent developments that could alter the trajectory before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNJ-05 House Election Winner
NJ-05 House Election Winner
$12,021 Vol.
$12,021 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
11%
$12,021 Vol.
$12,021 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$11,587 Vol.
89%
Republican Party
$434 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in New Jersey's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by his five-term tenure, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million, and the district's modest Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index. Uncontested primaries for both parties in June 2026 cleared the path for Gottheimer against Republican nominee Sean Kirrane, whose campaign has raised under $50,000 and lacks broad institutional backing. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Likely Democratic, consistent with the seat's recent history of Democratic holds. Trader pricing at 89% for Democrats versus 11% for Republicans captures this structural advantage and the absence of major recent developments that could alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$12,021Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in New Jersey's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by his five-term tenure, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million, and the district's modest Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index. Uncontested primaries for both parties in June 2026 cleared the path for Gottheimer against Republican nominee Sean Kirrane, whose campaign has raised under $50,000 and lacks broad institutional backing. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Likely Democratic, consistent with the seat's recent history of Democratic holds. Trader pricing at 89% for Democrats versus 11% for Republicans captures this structural advantage and the absence of major recent developments that could alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,021Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in New Jersey's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by his five-term tenure, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million, and the district's modest Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index. Uncontested primaries for both parties in June 2026 cleared the path for Gottheimer against Republican nominee Sean Kirrane, whose campaign has raised under $50,000 and lacks broad institutional backing. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Likely Democratic, consistent with the seat's recent history of Democratic holds. Trader pricing at 89% for Democrats versus 11% for Republicans captures this structural advantage and the absence of major recent developments that could alter the trajectory before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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