Josh Gottheimer's commanding position as the Democratic incumbent reflects the district's modest Democratic lean, consistent "Safe D" or "Solid D" ratings from forecasters, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.7 million compared to challenger Sean Kirrane's under $56,000. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their June 2026 primaries in this northern New Jersey district spanning Bergen, Sussex, and Passaic counties, with the general election set for November 3, 2026. Kirrane, a corporate consultant emphasizing fiscal discipline and affordability, faces structural barriers typical for challengers in such seats. Late developments such as a national partisan shift, significant fundraising surge for the Republican, or unforeseen personal or legal issues involving the incumbent could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$26,262 Vol.
$26,262 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Josh Gottheimer (D)
97%
Sean Kirrane (R)
3%
$26,262 Vol.
$26,262 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Josh Gottheimer (D)
$19,077 Vol.
97%
Sean Kirrane (R)
$7,185 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Josh Gottheimer's commanding position as the Democratic incumbent reflects the district's modest Democratic lean, consistent "Safe D" or "Solid D" ratings from forecasters, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.7 million compared to challenger Sean Kirrane's under $56,000. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their June 2026 primaries in this northern New Jersey district spanning Bergen, Sussex, and Passaic counties, with the general election set for November 3, 2026. Kirrane, a corporate consultant emphasizing fiscal discipline and affordability, faces structural barriers typical for challengers in such seats. Late developments such as a national partisan shift, significant fundraising surge for the Republican, or unforeseen personal or legal issues involving the incumbent could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$26,262Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Josh Gottheimer's commanding position as the Democratic incumbent reflects the district's modest Democratic lean, consistent "Safe D" or "Solid D" ratings from forecasters, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.7 million compared to challenger Sean Kirrane's under $56,000. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their June 2026 primaries in this northern New Jersey district spanning Bergen, Sussex, and Passaic counties, with the general election set for November 3, 2026. Kirrane, a corporate consultant emphasizing fiscal discipline and affordability, faces structural barriers typical for challengers in such seats. Late developments such as a national partisan shift, significant fundraising surge for the Republican, or unforeseen personal or legal issues involving the incumbent could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,262Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Josh Gottheimer's commanding position as the Democratic incumbent reflects the district's modest Democratic lean, consistent "Safe D" or "Solid D" ratings from forecasters, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.7 million compared to challenger Sean Kirrane's under $56,000. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their June 2026 primaries in this northern New Jersey district spanning Bergen, Sussex, and Passaic counties, with the general election set for November 3, 2026. Kirrane, a corporate consultant emphasizing fiscal discipline and affordability, faces structural barriers typical for challengers in such seats. Late developments such as a national partisan shift, significant fundraising surge for the Republican, or unforeseen personal or legal issues involving the incumbent could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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