Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured a decisive 76 percent in the March 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $1.7 million against Republican nominee Niki Conforti. The suburban Chicago district carries a Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voter index and Casten's eight-point 2024 victory, prompting race raters including the Cook Political Report to classify it Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or national environment. A late Republican midterm surge, significant Casten scandal, or Conforti performance exceeding expectations could narrow the gap ahead of the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIL-06 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
IL-06 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$42,788 Vol.
$42,788 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
96%
Partito Repubblicano
2%
$42,788 Vol.
$42,788 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$19,798 Vol.
96%
Partito Repubblicano
$22,990 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured a decisive 76 percent in the March 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $1.7 million against Republican nominee Niki Conforti. The suburban Chicago district carries a Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voter index and Casten's eight-point 2024 victory, prompting race raters including the Cook Political Report to classify it Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or national environment. A late Republican midterm surge, significant Casten scandal, or Conforti performance exceeding expectations could narrow the gap ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$42,788Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured a decisive 76 percent in the March 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $1.7 million against Republican nominee Niki Conforti. The suburban Chicago district carries a Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voter index and Casten's eight-point 2024 victory, prompting race raters including the Cook Political Report to classify it Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or national environment. A late Republican midterm surge, significant Casten scandal, or Conforti performance exceeding expectations could narrow the gap ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,788Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured a decisive 76 percent in the March 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $1.7 million against Republican nominee Niki Conforti. The suburban Chicago district carries a Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voter index and Casten's eight-point 2024 victory, prompting race raters including the Cook Political Report to classify it Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or national environment. A late Republican midterm surge, significant Casten scandal, or Conforti performance exceeding expectations could narrow the gap ahead of the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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