The Illinois 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat following the March 2026 primary, where Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller secured the nomination to succeed retiring Representative Robin Kelly. All major forecasters rate the general election race as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s consistent electoral history in Chicago’s south side and southern suburbs. The Republican nominee faces structural challenges in a constituency that has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome above 90 percent aligns with this established pattern. Late developments such as a significant national Republican surge, an unexpected scandal, or health-related withdrawal by the Democratic nominee could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIL-02 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
IL-02 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$32,134 Vol.
$32,134 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
94%
Partito Repubblicano
6%
$32,134 Vol.
$32,134 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$13,630 Vol.
94%
Partito Repubblicano
$18,505 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat following the March 2026 primary, where Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller secured the nomination to succeed retiring Representative Robin Kelly. All major forecasters rate the general election race as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s consistent electoral history in Chicago’s south side and southern suburbs. The Republican nominee faces structural challenges in a constituency that has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome above 90 percent aligns with this established pattern. Late developments such as a significant national Republican surge, an unexpected scandal, or health-related withdrawal by the Democratic nominee could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$32,134Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat following the March 2026 primary, where Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller secured the nomination to succeed retiring Representative Robin Kelly. All major forecasters rate the general election race as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s consistent electoral history in Chicago’s south side and southern suburbs. The Republican nominee faces structural challenges in a constituency that has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome above 90 percent aligns with this established pattern. Late developments such as a significant national Republican surge, an unexpected scandal, or health-related withdrawal by the Democratic nominee could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,134Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat following the March 2026 primary, where Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller secured the nomination to succeed retiring Representative Robin Kelly. All major forecasters rate the general election race as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s consistent electoral history in Chicago’s south side and southern suburbs. The Republican nominee faces structural challenges in a constituency that has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome above 90 percent aligns with this established pattern. Late developments such as a significant national Republican surge, an unexpected scandal, or health-related withdrawal by the Democratic nominee could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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