Illinois's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent Safe or Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The March 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Donna Miller, a Cook County commissioner, who prevailed in a crowded field that included former representative Jesse Jackson Jr. Republican nominee Mike Noack advanced unopposed, while an independent write-in candidate has limited visibility. These factors, combined with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic general election outcome on November 3. A major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented turnout collapse represent the primary, though low-probability, paths that could alter the result.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIL-02 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
IL-02 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$33,686 Vol.
$33,686 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
97%
Partito Repubblicano
1%
$33,686 Vol.
$33,686 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$14,437 Vol.
97%
Partito Repubblicano
$19,249 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent Safe or Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The March 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Donna Miller, a Cook County commissioner, who prevailed in a crowded field that included former representative Jesse Jackson Jr. Republican nominee Mike Noack advanced unopposed, while an independent write-in candidate has limited visibility. These factors, combined with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic general election outcome on November 3. A major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented turnout collapse represent the primary, though low-probability, paths that could alter the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$33,686Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent Safe or Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The March 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Donna Miller, a Cook County commissioner, who prevailed in a crowded field that included former representative Jesse Jackson Jr. Republican nominee Mike Noack advanced unopposed, while an independent write-in candidate has limited visibility. These factors, combined with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic general election outcome on November 3. A major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented turnout collapse represent the primary, though low-probability, paths that could alter the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,686Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent Safe or Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The March 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Donna Miller, a Cook County commissioner, who prevailed in a crowded field that included former representative Jesse Jackson Jr. Republican nominee Mike Noack advanced unopposed, while an independent write-in candidate has limited visibility. These factors, combined with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic general election outcome on November 3. A major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented turnout collapse represent the primary, though low-probability, paths that could alter the result.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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