Michigan's 12th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent solid or safe ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest and a Republican challenger with minimal prior success in the seat. These structural factors, combined with the district's voter base in Wayne and Oakland counties, underpin traders' heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee in the November general election. A realistic shift would require an unusually divisive primary outcome or major external event altering turnout patterns before November 3, 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera MI-12
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MI-12
$28,890 Vol.
$28,890 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
94%
Partito Repubblicano
6%
$28,890 Vol.
$28,890 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$17,714 Vol.
94%
Partito Repubblicano
$11,175 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent solid or safe ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest and a Republican challenger with minimal prior success in the seat. These structural factors, combined with the district's voter base in Wayne and Oakland counties, underpin traders' heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee in the November general election. A realistic shift would require an unusually divisive primary outcome or major external event altering turnout patterns before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$28,890Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent solid or safe ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest and a Republican challenger with minimal prior success in the seat. These structural factors, combined with the district's voter base in Wayne and Oakland counties, underpin traders' heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee in the November general election. A realistic shift would require an unusually divisive primary outcome or major external event altering turnout patterns before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,890Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 12th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent solid or safe ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest and a Republican challenger with minimal prior success in the seat. These structural factors, combined with the district's voter base in Wayne and Oakland counties, underpin traders' heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee in the November general election. A realistic shift would require an unusually divisive primary outcome or major external event altering turnout patterns before November 3, 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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