Democratic incumbent Scott Peters holds a commanding position in the CA-50 general election due to the district's post-Proposition 50 redistricting, which shifted the partisan balance toward Democrats, combined with his strong primary performance against Republican Steve Cohen. Peters secured roughly 48 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing comfortably ahead of Cohen's 40 percent share amid limited Republican infrastructure in the San Diego-area seat. Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and similar nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and voter registration advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, unusually high Republican turnout, or national political reversal could still narrow the margin before November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-50
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-50
$60,159 Vol.
$60,159 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
94%
Partito Repubblicano
6%
$60,159 Vol.
$60,159 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$35,326 Vol.
94%
Partito Repubblicano
$24,833 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Scott Peters holds a commanding position in the CA-50 general election due to the district's post-Proposition 50 redistricting, which shifted the partisan balance toward Democrats, combined with his strong primary performance against Republican Steve Cohen. Peters secured roughly 48 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing comfortably ahead of Cohen's 40 percent share amid limited Republican infrastructure in the San Diego-area seat. Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and similar nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and voter registration advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, unusually high Republican turnout, or national political reversal could still narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$60,159Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Scott Peters holds a commanding position in the CA-50 general election due to the district's post-Proposition 50 redistricting, which shifted the partisan balance toward Democrats, combined with his strong primary performance against Republican Steve Cohen. Peters secured roughly 48 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing comfortably ahead of Cohen's 40 percent share amid limited Republican infrastructure in the San Diego-area seat. Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and similar nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and voter registration advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, unusually high Republican turnout, or national political reversal could still narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$60,159Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Scott Peters holds a commanding position in the CA-50 general election due to the district's post-Proposition 50 redistricting, which shifted the partisan balance toward Democrats, combined with his strong primary performance against Republican Steve Cohen. Peters secured roughly 48 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing comfortably ahead of Cohen's 40 percent share amid limited Republican infrastructure in the San Diego-area seat. Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and similar nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and voter registration advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, unusually high Republican turnout, or national political reversal could still narrow the margin before November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti