The open seat created by incumbent Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick’s April 2026 resignation amid federal charges has drawn a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for August 18, with Debbie Wasserman Schultz’s May announcement and poll lead providing a prominent candidate in the heavily Democratic South Florida district. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s D+22 partisan voting index and plurality-Black electorate. Republican primary candidates face structural barriers in turnout and voter composition that limit their general-election prospects. Trader consensus reflects these established Democratic advantages while incorporating primary uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera FL-20
$15,556 Vol.
$15,556 Vol.
Democratic Party
55%
Republican Party
7%
$15,556 Vol.
$15,556 Vol.
Democratic Party
55%
Republican Party
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by incumbent Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick’s April 2026 resignation amid federal charges has drawn a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for August 18, with Debbie Wasserman Schultz’s May announcement and poll lead providing a prominent candidate in the heavily Democratic South Florida district. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s D+22 partisan voting index and plurality-Black electorate. Republican primary candidates face structural barriers in turnout and voter composition that limit their general-election prospects. Trader consensus reflects these established Democratic advantages while incorporating primary uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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