Skip to main content
icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Yilan
Politica·Taiwan

Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Yilan

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Yilan
Politica·Taiwan

Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Yilan

Lin Kuo-chang 57%

Wu Tsung-hsien 22%

Chen Wan-hui 5%

Chang Sheng-te 1.4%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Lin Kuo-chang 57%

Wu Tsung-hsien 22%

Chen Wan-hui 5%

Chang Sheng-te 1.4%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Lin Kuo-chang

Lin Kuo-chang

$1,258 Vol.

57%

icon for Wu Tsung-hsien

Wu Tsung-hsien

$1,379 Vol.

22%

icon for Chen Wan-hui

Chen Wan-hui

$333 Vol.

5%

icon for Chang Sheng-te

Chang Sheng-te

$262 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).DPP candidate Lin Kuo-chang holds a lead in trader pricing for the November 28, 2026 Yilan County magistrate race, supported by early 2026 polling that placed him ahead of KMT nominee Wu Tsung-hsien and TPP candidate Chen Wan-hui in head-to-head matchups. Nominations by the major parties have clarified the field, with recent KMT-TPP coordination efforts failing to produce a unified challenger that consistently closes the gap in surveys. The contest remains competitive because Yilan has seen shifts between DPP and KMT control in prior cycles, and voter turnout among key local blocs could still narrow margins. No major late developments have emerged since spring polling, leaving the implied probabilities anchored to these established candidate strengths and coalition dynamics.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$3,232
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).DPP candidate Lin Kuo-chang holds a lead in trader pricing for the November 28, 2026 Yilan County magistrate race, supported by early 2026 polling that placed him ahead of KMT nominee Wu Tsung-hsien and TPP candidate Chen Wan-hui in head-to-head matchups. Nominations by the major parties have clarified the field, with recent KMT-TPP coordination efforts failing to produce a unified challenger that consistently closes the gap in surveys. The contest remains competitive because Yilan has seen shifts between DPP and KMT control in prior cycles, and voter turnout among key local blocs could still narrow margins. No major late developments have emerged since spring polling, leaving the implied probabilities anchored to these established candidate strengths and coalition dynamics.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$3,232
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Correlati

icon for Chang Chia-chun vincerà le prossime elezioni per magistrato della contea di Yunlin?

Chang Chia-chun vincerà le prossime elezioni per magistrato della contea di Yunlin?

84%
Sì
icon for Chung Tung-chin vincerà le prossime elezioni per il Magistrato della Contea di Miaoli?

Chung Tung-chin vincerà le prossime elezioni per il Magistrato della Contea di Miaoli?

89%
Sì
icon for Wu Hsiu-hua vincerà le prossime elezioni del Magistrato della Contea di Taitung?

Wu Hsiu-hua vincerà le prossime elezioni del Magistrato della Contea di Taitung?

89%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Yilan" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Lin Kuo-chang" a 57%, seguito da "Wu Tsung-hsien" a 22%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 57¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 57% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Yilan" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 14, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Yilan", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Yilan" è "Lin Kuo-chang" a 57%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 57% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Wu Tsung-hsien" a 22%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Yilan" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.