Lai Jui-lung holds a dominant position in the Kaohsiung mayoral race ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections. As the Democratic Progressive Party nominee following his January 2026 primary victory over Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua, he benefits from unified party backing in a DPP-leaning special municipality. Multiple 2026 surveys show him ahead of Kuomintang nominee Ko Chih-en across districts and demographics, reflecting voter preferences and the KMT candidate’s prior 2022 loss in the same contest. The wide gap in implied probabilities mirrors these structural and polling factors, with limited upside for other listed contenders absent major shifts in turnout or late alliances. Upcoming campaign registration and final debate periods remain the primary near-term variables.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLai Jui-lung 84%
Ko Chih-en 13.9%
Chiu Yi-ying 5.3%
Lin Tai-hua 2.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 giu 2027
Lai Jui-lung
84%
Ko Chih-en
14%
Chiu Yi-ying
5%
Lin Tai-hua
2%
Hsu Chih-chieh
2%
Chang Ching
1%
Lai Jui-lung 84%
Ko Chih-en 13.9%
Chiu Yi-ying 5.3%
Lin Tai-hua 2.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 giu 2027
Lai Jui-lung
$1,110 Vol.
84%
Ko Chih-en
$141 Vol.
14%
Chiu Yi-ying
$86 Vol.
5%
Lin Tai-hua
$88 Vol.
2%
Hsu Chih-chieh
$140 Vol.
2%
Chang Ching
$92 Vol.
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung holds a dominant position in the Kaohsiung mayoral race ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections. As the Democratic Progressive Party nominee following his January 2026 primary victory over Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua, he benefits from unified party backing in a DPP-leaning special municipality. Multiple 2026 surveys show him ahead of Kuomintang nominee Ko Chih-en across districts and demographics, reflecting voter preferences and the KMT candidate’s prior 2022 loss in the same contest. The wide gap in implied probabilities mirrors these structural and polling factors, with limited upside for other listed contenders absent major shifts in turnout or late alliances. Upcoming campaign registration and final debate periods remain the primary near-term variables.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET
Volume
$1,656Data di fine
28 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung holds a dominant position in the Kaohsiung mayoral race ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections. As the Democratic Progressive Party nominee following his January 2026 primary victory over Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua, he benefits from unified party backing in a DPP-leaning special municipality. Multiple 2026 surveys show him ahead of Kuomintang nominee Ko Chih-en across districts and demographics, reflecting voter preferences and the KMT candidate’s prior 2022 loss in the same contest. The wide gap in implied probabilities mirrors these structural and polling factors, with limited upside for other listed contenders absent major shifts in turnout or late alliances. Upcoming campaign registration and final debate periods remain the primary near-term variables.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,656Data di fine
28 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lai Jui-lung holds a dominant position in the Kaohsiung mayoral race ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections. As the Democratic Progressive Party nominee following his January 2026 primary victory over Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua, he benefits from unified party backing in a DPP-leaning special municipality. Multiple 2026 surveys show him ahead of Kuomintang nominee Ko Chih-en across districts and demographics, reflecting voter preferences and the KMT candidate’s prior 2022 loss in the same contest. The wide gap in implied probabilities mirrors these structural and polling factors, with limited upside for other listed contenders absent major shifts in turnout or late alliances. Upcoming campaign registration and final debate periods remain the primary near-term variables.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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