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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Pará
Politica·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Pará

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Pará
Politica·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Pará

Hana Ghassan 59%

Dott. Daniel Santos 42%

Éder Mauro 1.3%

Dirceu Ten Caten <1%

Polymarket

$45,834 Vol.

Hana Ghassan 59%

Dott. Daniel Santos 42%

Éder Mauro 1.3%

Dirceu Ten Caten <1%

Polymarket

$45,834 Vol.

icon for Hana Ghassan

Hana Ghassan

$17,038 Vol.

59%

icon for Dott. Daniel Santos

Dott. Daniel Santos

$12,154 Vol.

42%

icon for Éder Mauro

Éder Mauro

$5,288 Vol.

1%

icon for Dirceu Ten Caten

Dirceu Ten Caten

$2,815 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zequinha Marinho

Zequinha Marinho

$2,811 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rogério Barra

Rogério Barra

$2,872 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paulo Rocha

Paulo Rocha

$2,855 Vol.

<1%

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor of Pará, holds the strongest position in the 2026 race due to her recent polling lead and party infrastructure ahead of the October 4 first round. The latest AtlasIntel survey from early September shows her at 48.5% (52% of valid votes) against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 41.7%, a margin that could allow a first-round victory under Brazilian electoral rules. Earlier surveys from Real Time and Quaest indicated tighter contests or technical ties, but Ghassan's advantage has widened with active campaigning, including regional events and coalition support. Traders appear to weigh her incumbency, approval ratings, and the low single-digit support for other registered candidates like Araceli (PSOL) when assessing probabilities. A decisive shift in undecided voters or late campaign developments could still narrow the gap before election day.

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$45,834
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor of Pará, holds the strongest position in the 2026 race due to her recent polling lead and party infrastructure ahead of the October 4 first round. The latest AtlasIntel survey from early September shows her at 48.5% (52% of valid votes) against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 41.7%, a margin that could allow a first-round victory under Brazilian electoral rules. Earlier surveys from Real Time and Quaest indicated tighter contests or technical ties, but Ghassan's advantage has widened with active campaigning, including regional events and coalition support. Traders appear to weigh her incumbency, approval ratings, and the low single-digit support for other registered candidates like Araceli (PSOL) when assessing probabilities. A decisive shift in undecided voters or late campaign developments could still narrow the gap before election day.

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$45,834
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Pará" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Hana Ghassan" a 59%, seguito da "Dott. Daniel Santos" a 42%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 59¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 59% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Pará" ha generato $45.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jun 9, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Pará", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Pará" è "Hana Ghassan" a 59%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 59% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Dott. Daniel Santos" a 42%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Pará" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.