The fragmented field of 13 confirmed candidates for Santa Catarina’s two Senate seats has kept first-place probabilities clustered near even, with recent party conventions finalizing slates in early August 2026 and no dominant frontrunner emerging yet. Marlene Soccas holds the highest implied probability at 27.5 percent, followed closely by Marcos Dorval and several others in the low-to-mid teens, reflecting trader consensus on a wide-open contest ahead of October voting. Limited early polling, diverse party affiliations, and the absence of major endorsements or scandals have prevented any single contender from pulling ahead. Scheduled campaign launches, alliance negotiations, and state-specific economic signals could quickly shift momentum and widen spreads before the first round.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElezioni Senato Santa Catarina: 1° Posto
Elezioni Senato Santa Catarina: 1° Posto
Marlene Soccas 25%
Jeferson da Rocha 24%
Marcos Dorval 19%
Carol 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Marlene Soccas
25%
Jeferson da Rocha
24%
Marcos Dorval
19%
Carol
15%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
14%
Esperidião Amin
14%
Lunelli
13%
Carol de Toni
13%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
13%
Carlos Bolsonaro
12%
Afrânio Boppré
11%
Décio Lima
11%
Joaninha de Oliveira
7%
Marlene Soccas 25%
Jeferson da Rocha 24%
Marcos Dorval 19%
Carol 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Marlene Soccas
$56 Vol.
25%
Jeferson da Rocha
$56 Vol.
24%
Marcos Dorval
$56 Vol.
19%
Carol
$56 Vol.
15%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$56 Vol.
14%
Esperidião Amin
$56 Vol.
14%
Lunelli
$76 Vol.
13%
Carol de Toni
$76 Vol.
13%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
$56 Vol.
13%
Carlos Bolsonaro
$95 Vol.
12%
Afrânio Boppré
$72 Vol.
11%
Décio Lima
$72 Vol.
11%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$102 Vol.
7%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of 13 confirmed candidates for Santa Catarina’s two Senate seats has kept first-place probabilities clustered near even, with recent party conventions finalizing slates in early August 2026 and no dominant frontrunner emerging yet. Marlene Soccas holds the highest implied probability at 27.5 percent, followed closely by Marcos Dorval and several others in the low-to-mid teens, reflecting trader consensus on a wide-open contest ahead of October voting. Limited early polling, diverse party affiliations, and the absence of major endorsements or scandals have prevented any single contender from pulling ahead. Scheduled campaign launches, alliance negotiations, and state-specific economic signals could quickly shift momentum and widen spreads before the first round.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Volume
$885Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of 13 confirmed candidates for Santa Catarina’s two Senate seats has kept first-place probabilities clustered near even, with recent party conventions finalizing slates in early August 2026 and no dominant frontrunner emerging yet. Marlene Soccas holds the highest implied probability at 27.5 percent, followed closely by Marcos Dorval and several others in the low-to-mid teens, reflecting trader consensus on a wide-open contest ahead of October voting. Limited early polling, diverse party affiliations, and the absence of major endorsements or scandals have prevented any single contender from pulling ahead. Scheduled campaign launches, alliance negotiations, and state-specific economic signals could quickly shift momentum and widen spreads before the first round.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$885Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented field of 13 confirmed candidates for Santa Catarina’s two Senate seats has kept first-place probabilities clustered near even, with recent party conventions finalizing slates in early August 2026 and no dominant frontrunner emerging yet. Marlene Soccas holds the highest implied probability at 27.5 percent, followed closely by Marcos Dorval and several others in the low-to-mid teens, reflecting trader consensus on a wide-open contest ahead of October voting. Limited early polling, diverse party affiliations, and the absence of major endorsements or scandals have prevented any single contender from pulling ahead. Scheduled campaign launches, alliance negotiations, and state-specific economic signals could quickly shift momentum and widen spreads before the first round.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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