In São Paulo’s October 4 Senate contest for two seats, trader pricing reflects a highly fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, with recent polls showing Simone Tebet (PSB), Marina Silva (Rede), Guilherme Derrite (PP), and André do Prado (PL) clustered within the margin of error near the top. Official campaigning opened August 16, intensifying competition among center-left figures tied to the Lula administration and right-leaning names associated with Governor Tarcísio de Freitas and former President Bolsonaro. The two-seat structure and absence of a dominant frontrunner keep implied probabilities compressed, as modest shifts in turnout among urban voters, evangelical blocs, or undecideds could reorder the ranking. No single late-breaking event has yet consolidated support behind one contender.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMarina Silva 28%
André do Prado 22%
Maíra de Souza 21%
Guilherme Derrite 21%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Marina Silva
28%
André do Prado
22%
Maíra de Souza
21%
Guilherme Derrite
25%
Ednelson Cesaretti
21%
Soninha Francine
20%
Weller Gonçalves
21%
Simone Tebet
18%
Geraldo Rufino
17%
Salles
11%
Petter Maahs
8%
Marcio Alves
8%
William Teixeira
8%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
6%
Marina Silva 28%
André do Prado 22%
Maíra de Souza 21%
Guilherme Derrite 21%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Marina Silva
$20 Vol.
28%
André do Prado
$20 Vol.
22%
Maíra de Souza
$20 Vol.
21%
Guilherme Derrite
$40 Vol.
25%
Ednelson Cesaretti
$20 Vol.
21%
Soninha Francine
$20 Vol.
20%
Weller Gonçalves
$58 Vol.
21%
Simone Tebet
$20 Vol.
18%
Geraldo Rufino
$20 Vol.
17%
Salles
$20 Vol.
11%
Petter Maahs
$42 Vol.
8%
Marcio Alves
$40 Vol.
8%
William Teixeira
$40 Vol.
8%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
$59 Vol.
6%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In São Paulo’s October 4 Senate contest for two seats, trader pricing reflects a highly fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, with recent polls showing Simone Tebet (PSB), Marina Silva (Rede), Guilherme Derrite (PP), and André do Prado (PL) clustered within the margin of error near the top. Official campaigning opened August 16, intensifying competition among center-left figures tied to the Lula administration and right-leaning names associated with Governor Tarcísio de Freitas and former President Bolsonaro. The two-seat structure and absence of a dominant frontrunner keep implied probabilities compressed, as modest shifts in turnout among urban voters, evangelical blocs, or undecideds could reorder the ranking. No single late-breaking event has yet consolidated support behind one contender.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Volume
$438Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In São Paulo’s October 4 Senate contest for two seats, trader pricing reflects a highly fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, with recent polls showing Simone Tebet (PSB), Marina Silva (Rede), Guilherme Derrite (PP), and André do Prado (PL) clustered within the margin of error near the top. Official campaigning opened August 16, intensifying competition among center-left figures tied to the Lula administration and right-leaning names associated with Governor Tarcísio de Freitas and former President Bolsonaro. The two-seat structure and absence of a dominant frontrunner keep implied probabilities compressed, as modest shifts in turnout among urban voters, evangelical blocs, or undecideds could reorder the ranking. No single late-breaking event has yet consolidated support behind one contender.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$438Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In São Paulo’s October 4 Senate contest for two seats, trader pricing reflects a highly fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, with recent polls showing Simone Tebet (PSB), Marina Silva (Rede), Guilherme Derrite (PP), and André do Prado (PL) clustered within the margin of error near the top. Official campaigning opened August 16, intensifying competition among center-left figures tied to the Lula administration and right-leaning names associated with Governor Tarcísio de Freitas and former President Bolsonaro. The two-seat structure and absence of a dominant frontrunner keep implied probabilities compressed, as modest shifts in turnout among urban voters, evangelical blocs, or undecideds could reorder the ranking. No single late-breaking event has yet consolidated support behind one contender.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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