The 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 4 vote, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty among declared candidates including Omar Aziz and Professora Maria do Carmo. Recent party conventions and formal registrations have consolidated support for Aziz within the PSD coalition while positioning Maria do Carmo as the PL standard-bearer, yet December 2025 polling showed Aziz ahead at 39 percent against her 22 percent, with fragmented backing for figures such as David Almeida. Asset disclosures and vice-governor announcements in mid-August have introduced minor momentum without shifting the balance decisively. Multiple viable contenders and limited late-cycle polling keep implied probabilities clustered, allowing developments like additional endorsements, debate performances, or regional turnout shifts in Manaus to create separation before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRoberto Cidade 45%
David Almeida 43%
Cabo Daciolo 42%
Gilberto Vasconcelos 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Roberto Cidade
45%
David Almeida
43%
Cabo Daciolo
42%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
8%
Isael Munduruku
8%
Omar Aziz
53%
Professoressa Maria do Carmo
52%
Roberto Cidade 45%
David Almeida 43%
Cabo Daciolo 42%
Gilberto Vasconcelos 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Roberto Cidade
$0 Vol.
45%
David Almeida
$0 Vol.
43%
Cabo Daciolo
$0 Vol.
42%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
$20 Vol.
8%
Isael Munduruku
$25 Vol.
8%
Omar Aziz
$21 Vol.
53%
Professoressa Maria do Carmo
$21 Vol.
52%
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 4 vote, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty among declared candidates including Omar Aziz and Professora Maria do Carmo. Recent party conventions and formal registrations have consolidated support for Aziz within the PSD coalition while positioning Maria do Carmo as the PL standard-bearer, yet December 2025 polling showed Aziz ahead at 39 percent against her 22 percent, with fragmented backing for figures such as David Almeida. Asset disclosures and vice-governor announcements in mid-August have introduced minor momentum without shifting the balance decisively. Multiple viable contenders and limited late-cycle polling keep implied probabilities clustered, allowing developments like additional endorsements, debate performances, or regional turnout shifts in Manaus to create separation before election day.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
Volume
$87Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 4 vote, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty among declared candidates including Omar Aziz and Professora Maria do Carmo. Recent party conventions and formal registrations have consolidated support for Aziz within the PSD coalition while positioning Maria do Carmo as the PL standard-bearer, yet December 2025 polling showed Aziz ahead at 39 percent against her 22 percent, with fragmented backing for figures such as David Almeida. Asset disclosures and vice-governor announcements in mid-August have introduced minor momentum without shifting the balance decisively. Multiple viable contenders and limited late-cycle polling keep implied probabilities clustered, allowing developments like additional endorsements, debate performances, or regional turnout shifts in Manaus to create separation before election day.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$87Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 4 vote, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty among declared candidates including Omar Aziz and Professora Maria do Carmo. Recent party conventions and formal registrations have consolidated support for Aziz within the PSD coalition while positioning Maria do Carmo as the PL standard-bearer, yet December 2025 polling showed Aziz ahead at 39 percent against her 22 percent, with fragmented backing for figures such as David Almeida. Asset disclosures and vice-governor announcements in mid-August have introduced minor momentum without shifting the balance decisively. Multiple viable contenders and limited late-cycle polling keep implied probabilities clustered, allowing developments like additional endorsements, debate performances, or regional turnout shifts in Manaus to create separation before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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