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icon for Elezioni del Senato di Roraima: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni del Senato di Roraima: 2° posto

icon for Elezioni del Senato di Roraima: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni del Senato di Roraima: 2° posto

Teresa Surita 47%

Pastor Isamar 46%

Regina Tio Ivo 46%

Helio Bolsonaro 43%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Teresa Surita 47%

Pastor Isamar 46%

Regina Tio Ivo 46%

Helio Bolsonaro 43%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Teresa Surita

Teresa Surita

$0 Vol.

47%

icon for Pastor Isamar

Pastor Isamar

$0 Vol.

46%

icon for Regina Tio Ivo

Regina Tio Ivo

$0 Vol.

46%

icon for Helio Bolsonaro

Helio Bolsonaro

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Chico Rodrigues

Chico Rodrigues

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Hilton Xavier

Hilton Xavier

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Rogério Miranda

Rogério Miranda

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Bartô Macuxi

Bartô Macuxi

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Helena da Asatur

Helena da Asatur

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Mario Rocha

Mario Rocha

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Nicoletti

Nicoletti

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Márcio Junqueira

Márcio Junqueira

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for Hiperion de Oliveira

Hiperion de Oliveira

$0 Vol.

22%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field of over a dozen registered candidates for Roraima’s single Senate seat in 2026 has kept second-place probabilities tightly clustered, reflecting trader views of a fragmented contest with no dominant challenger yet emerging. Recent party conventions and the August 15 candidacy registration deadline formalized bids from figures including Mario Rocha (PSOL), Teresa Surita (MDB), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and others, adding volatility without clear polling updates since earlier surveys showed Denarium and Surita ahead. Historical patterns of state-level races with multiple viable contenders, combined with shifting alliances and limited recent survey data, sustain uncertainty around who consolidates opposition support behind any frontrunner. Upcoming campaign events or coalition announcements could quickly separate contenders by clarifying vote consolidation ahead of the October election.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field of over a dozen registered candidates for Roraima’s single Senate seat in 2026 has kept second-place probabilities tightly clustered, reflecting trader views of a fragmented contest with no dominant challenger yet emerging. Recent party conventions and the August 15 candidacy registration deadline formalized bids from figures including Mario Rocha (PSOL), Teresa Surita (MDB), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and others, adding volatility without clear polling updates since earlier surveys showed Denarium and Surita ahead. Historical patterns of state-level races with multiple viable contenders, combined with shifting alliances and limited recent survey data, sustain uncertainty around who consolidates opposition support behind any frontrunner. Upcoming campaign events or coalition announcements could quickly separate contenders by clarifying vote consolidation ahead of the October election.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Correlati

icon for Will Pastor Isamar win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?

Will Pastor Isamar win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?

45%
icon for Cristina Reis Graeml otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Paraná del 2026?

Cristina Reis Graeml otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Paraná del 2026?

47%
Sì
icon for Pimenta otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Rio Grande do Sul del 2026?

Pimenta otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Rio Grande do Sul del 2026?

45%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Elezioni del Senato di Roraima: 2° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Teresa Surita" a 47%, seguito da "Pastor Isamar" a 46%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 47¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 47% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni del Senato di Roraima: 2° posto" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni del Senato di Roraima: 2° posto", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni del Senato di Roraima: 2° posto" è "Teresa Surita" a 47%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 47% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Pastor Isamar" a 46%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni del Senato di Roraima: 2° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.