Skip to main content
icon for Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Tainan
Politica·Taiwan

Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Tainan

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Tainan
Politica·Taiwan

Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Tainan

Chen Ting-fei 82%

Hsieh Lung-chieh 17%

Lin Chun-hsien 2.5%

Lin Yi-feng 2.0%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Chen Ting-fei 82%

Hsieh Lung-chieh 17%

Lin Chun-hsien 2.5%

Lin Yi-feng 2.0%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Chen Ting-fei

Chen Ting-fei

$406 Vol.

82%

icon for Hsieh Lung-chieh

Hsieh Lung-chieh

$115 Vol.

17%

icon for Lin Chun-hsien

Lin Chun-hsien

$94 Vol.

2%

icon for Lin Yi-feng

Lin Yi-feng

$113 Vol.

2%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Ting-fei holds an 82% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Tainan mayoral race, reflecting her status as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee following a January 2026 primary victory over Lin Chun-hsien by roughly 2.7 points. The Kuomintang's nomination of Legislator Hsieh Lung-chieh as challenger underpins his 17% positioning, with both candidates facing off in the November 28, 2026, local elections in a city where the DPP has maintained long-term control of the mayoralty. A March 2026 poll showed Hsieh narrowing Chen's lead to about 5.4 points amid ongoing voter assessments of party records and local governance priorities. Other listed candidates remain at minimal shares, consistent with the binary contest between the major-party nominees. Upcoming campaign events and further polling could influence trader consensus ahead of election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$712
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Ting-fei holds an 82% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Tainan mayoral race, reflecting her status as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee following a January 2026 primary victory over Lin Chun-hsien by roughly 2.7 points. The Kuomintang's nomination of Legislator Hsieh Lung-chieh as challenger underpins his 17% positioning, with both candidates facing off in the November 28, 2026, local elections in a city where the DPP has maintained long-term control of the mayoralty. A March 2026 poll showed Hsieh narrowing Chen's lead to about 5.4 points amid ongoing voter assessments of party records and local governance priorities. Other listed candidates remain at minimal shares, consistent with the binary contest between the major-party nominees. Upcoming campaign events and further polling could influence trader consensus ahead of election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$712
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Correlati

icon for Johnny Chiang vincerà le prossime elezioni per il sindaco di Taichung?

Johnny Chiang vincerà le prossime elezioni per il sindaco di Taichung?

80%
Sì
icon for Chiang Wan-an vincerà le prossime elezioni per il sindaco di Taipei?

Chiang Wan-an vincerà le prossime elezioni per il sindaco di Taipei?

90%
Sì
icon for Chang San-cheng vincerà le prossime elezioni per il sindaco di Taoyuan?

Chang San-cheng vincerà le prossime elezioni per il sindaco di Taoyuan?

89%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Tainan" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Chen Ting-fei" a 82%, seguito da "Hsieh Lung-chieh" a 17%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 82¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 82% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Tainan" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 14, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Tainan", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Tainan" è "Chen Ting-fei" a 82%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 82% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Hsieh Lung-chieh" a 17%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni per il sindaco di Tainan" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.