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icon for Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Politica·Brasile

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

icon for Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Politica·Brasile

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

Luciano Zucco 59%

Juliana Brizola 32%

Gabriel Souza 2.8%

Marcelo Maranata <1%

Polymarket

$102,849 Vol.

Luciano Zucco 59%

Juliana Brizola 32%

Gabriel Souza 2.8%

Marcelo Maranata <1%

Polymarket

$102,849 Vol.

Luciano Zucco

$46,599 Vol.

59%

Juliana Brizola

$35,625 Vol.

32%

Gabriel Souza

$10,508 Vol.

3%

Marcelo Maranata

$7,151 Vol.

1%

Luis Carlos Heinze

$2,966 Vol.

<1%

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco (PL) leads trader consensus at 57.5% for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote in Rio Grande do Sul, driven by his record personal vote totals as federal deputy, PL party machinery, and PP alliance that consolidates right-leaning voters behind the former state legislator and military officer. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from early September shows Zucco edging Juliana Brizola (PDT) 36% to 35% in a tight first-round scenario, reversing earlier surveys where Brizola held a narrow lead through left coalition-building with PT, PSOL, and allied parties. Brizola sits at 31.5% amid efforts to unify progressive and center-left blocs, while incumbent term limits on Eduardo Leite (PSD) have left Gabriel Souza (MDB) with minimal support at 2.8%. The race remains sensitive to turnout patterns and any late shifts in undecided voters before the potential October 25 runoff.

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$102,849
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco (PL) leads trader consensus at 57.5% for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote in Rio Grande do Sul, driven by his record personal vote totals as federal deputy, PL party machinery, and PP alliance that consolidates right-leaning voters behind the former state legislator and military officer. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from early September shows Zucco edging Juliana Brizola (PDT) 36% to 35% in a tight first-round scenario, reversing earlier surveys where Brizola held a narrow lead through left coalition-building with PT, PSOL, and allied parties. Brizola sits at 31.5% amid efforts to unify progressive and center-left blocs, while incumbent term limits on Eduardo Leite (PSD) have left Gabriel Souza (MDB) with minimal support at 2.8%. The race remains sensitive to turnout patterns and any late shifts in undecided voters before the potential October 25 runoff.

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$102,849
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Luciano Zucco" a 59%, seguito da "Juliana Brizola" a 32%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 59¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 59% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner" ha generato $102.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 28, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner" è "Luciano Zucco" a 59%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 59% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Juliana Brizola" a 32%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.