In the Tocantins Senate race for the two seats up in Brazil's October 2026 elections, trader pricing for second place remains tightly clustered because recent polling shows a fragmented field behind frontrunner Eduardo Gomes. A late-July Paraná Pesquisas survey found Gomes leading while Alexandre Guimarães and Carlos Gaguim competed closely for the second position, with several other names—including Professor Osvaldo, Fábio Ribeiro, and Ronaldo Dimas—retaining measurable support in stimulated scenarios. The absence of a dominant challenger, combined with ongoing candidate positioning and limited new survey data since July, sustains uncertainty over which contender can consolidate the remaining vote share and pull ahead before the October 4 vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFábio Ribeiro 39%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 38%
Alexandre Guimarães 36%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Fábio Ribeiro
39%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
38%
Alexandre Guimarães
36%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
27%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
26%
Eduardo Gomes
23%
Eli Borges
25%
Nilton Santos
28%
Paulo Mourão
14%
Osvany Luz
13%
Ronaldo Dimas
7%
Gaguim
41%
Professor Osvaldo
37%
Fábio Ribeiro 39%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 38%
Alexandre Guimarães 36%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Fábio Ribeiro
$40 Vol.
39%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$40 Vol.
38%
Alexandre Guimarães
$40 Vol.
36%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$40 Vol.
27%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$40 Vol.
26%
Eduardo Gomes
$40 Vol.
23%
Eli Borges
$60 Vol.
25%
Nilton Santos
$52 Vol.
28%
Paulo Mourão
$40 Vol.
14%
Osvany Luz
$40 Vol.
13%
Ronaldo Dimas
$40 Vol.
7%
Gaguim
$40 Vol.
41%
Professor Osvaldo
$52 Vol.
37%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Tocantins Senate race for the two seats up in Brazil's October 2026 elections, trader pricing for second place remains tightly clustered because recent polling shows a fragmented field behind frontrunner Eduardo Gomes. A late-July Paraná Pesquisas survey found Gomes leading while Alexandre Guimarães and Carlos Gaguim competed closely for the second position, with several other names—including Professor Osvaldo, Fábio Ribeiro, and Ronaldo Dimas—retaining measurable support in stimulated scenarios. The absence of a dominant challenger, combined with ongoing candidate positioning and limited new survey data since July, sustains uncertainty over which contender can consolidate the remaining vote share and pull ahead before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volume
$564Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Tocantins Senate race for the two seats up in Brazil's October 2026 elections, trader pricing for second place remains tightly clustered because recent polling shows a fragmented field behind frontrunner Eduardo Gomes. A late-July Paraná Pesquisas survey found Gomes leading while Alexandre Guimarães and Carlos Gaguim competed closely for the second position, with several other names—including Professor Osvaldo, Fábio Ribeiro, and Ronaldo Dimas—retaining measurable support in stimulated scenarios. The absence of a dominant challenger, combined with ongoing candidate positioning and limited new survey data since July, sustains uncertainty over which contender can consolidate the remaining vote share and pull ahead before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$564Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Tocantins Senate race for the two seats up in Brazil's October 2026 elections, trader pricing for second place remains tightly clustered because recent polling shows a fragmented field behind frontrunner Eduardo Gomes. A late-July Paraná Pesquisas survey found Gomes leading while Alexandre Guimarães and Carlos Gaguim competed closely for the second position, with several other names—including Professor Osvaldo, Fábio Ribeiro, and Ronaldo Dimas—retaining measurable support in stimulated scenarios. The absence of a dominant challenger, combined with ongoing candidate positioning and limited new survey data since July, sustains uncertainty over which contender can consolidate the remaining vote share and pull ahead before the October 4 vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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