In the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial race, recent polls show incumbent Fábio Mitidieri of the PSD holding a narrow lead or statistical tie with Valmir de Francisquinho of the Republicanos, each around 40 percent, while Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho, and several other declared candidates trail significantly. This fragmented field and lack of decisive momentum for any single contender keep implied probabilities closely bunched across outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the potential impact of party alliances, campaign spending disclosures, and the first-round dynamics in October, where vote splitting among opposition figures could influence advancement to a possible runoff. Scheduled debates and further polling releases through September remain key variables that could widen separation among the top names.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDott. Helton 39%
Emanuel Cacho 39%
Fábio 39%
Ricardo Marques 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Dott. Helton
39%
Emanuel Cacho
39%
Fábio
39%
Ricardo Marques
39%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
39%
Valmir de Francisquinho
39%
Dott. Helton 39%
Emanuel Cacho 39%
Fábio 39%
Ricardo Marques 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Dott. Helton
$0 Vol.
39%
Emanuel Cacho
$0 Vol.
39%
Fábio
$0 Vol.
39%
Ricardo Marques
$0 Vol.
39%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
$0 Vol.
39%
Valmir de Francisquinho
$0 Vol.
39%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial race, recent polls show incumbent Fábio Mitidieri of the PSD holding a narrow lead or statistical tie with Valmir de Francisquinho of the Republicanos, each around 40 percent, while Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho, and several other declared candidates trail significantly. This fragmented field and lack of decisive momentum for any single contender keep implied probabilities closely bunched across outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the potential impact of party alliances, campaign spending disclosures, and the first-round dynamics in October, where vote splitting among opposition figures could influence advancement to a possible runoff. Scheduled debates and further polling releases through September remain key variables that could widen separation among the top names.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial race, recent polls show incumbent Fábio Mitidieri of the PSD holding a narrow lead or statistical tie with Valmir de Francisquinho of the Republicanos, each around 40 percent, while Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho, and several other declared candidates trail significantly. This fragmented field and lack of decisive momentum for any single contender keep implied probabilities closely bunched across outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the potential impact of party alliances, campaign spending disclosures, and the first-round dynamics in October, where vote splitting among opposition figures could influence advancement to a possible runoff. Scheduled debates and further polling releases through September remain key variables that could widen separation among the top names.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial race, recent polls show incumbent Fábio Mitidieri of the PSD holding a narrow lead or statistical tie with Valmir de Francisquinho of the Republicanos, each around 40 percent, while Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho, and several other declared candidates trail significantly. This fragmented field and lack of decisive momentum for any single contender keep implied probabilities closely bunched across outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the potential impact of party alliances, campaign spending disclosures, and the first-round dynamics in October, where vote splitting among opposition figures could influence advancement to a possible runoff. Scheduled debates and further polling releases through September remain key variables that could widen separation among the top names.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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