Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 76.5% implied probability that Brazilian Supreme Federal Court (STF) Justice Alexandre de Moraes will remain in his role, driven by the absence of procedural momentum toward his removal despite intensifying political pressure. The most recent catalyst—a parliamentary commission (CPI) on organized crime report released this week recommending impeachment of Moraes alongside Justices Dias Toffoli and Gilmar Mendes over alleged interference in Banco Master investigations involving money laundering and his wife's law firm—has fueled opposition calls from Bolsonaro allies like Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, but faces steep Senate hurdles requiring a two-thirds supermajority vote, a threshold unmet in modern STF history. Moraes continues active oversight of high-profile cases, including former President Jair Bolsonaro's, underscoring his institutional entrenchment amid no official resignation signals or binding actions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$22,613 Vol.
$22,613 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$22,613 Vol.
$22,613 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 76.5% implied probability that Brazilian Supreme Federal Court (STF) Justice Alexandre de Moraes will remain in his role, driven by the absence of procedural momentum toward his removal despite intensifying political pressure. The most recent catalyst—a parliamentary commission (CPI) on organized crime report released this week recommending impeachment of Moraes alongside Justices Dias Toffoli and Gilmar Mendes over alleged interference in Banco Master investigations involving money laundering and his wife's law firm—has fueled opposition calls from Bolsonaro allies like Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, but faces steep Senate hurdles requiring a two-thirds supermajority vote, a threshold unmet in modern STF history. Moraes continues active oversight of high-profile cases, including former President Jair Bolsonaro's, underscoring his institutional entrenchment amid no official resignation signals or binding actions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Volume
$22,613Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 76.5% implied probability that Brazilian Supreme Federal Court (STF) Justice Alexandre de Moraes will remain in his role, driven by the absence of procedural momentum toward his removal despite intensifying political pressure. The most recent catalyst—a parliamentary commission (CPI) on organized crime report released this week recommending impeachment of Moraes alongside Justices Dias Toffoli and Gilmar Mendes over alleged interference in Banco Master investigations involving money laundering and his wife's law firm—has fueled opposition calls from Bolsonaro allies like Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, but faces steep Senate hurdles requiring a two-thirds supermajority vote, a threshold unmet in modern STF history. Moraes continues active oversight of high-profile cases, including former President Jair Bolsonaro's, underscoring his institutional entrenchment amid no official resignation signals or binding actions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,613Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 76.5% implied probability that Brazilian Supreme Federal Court (STF) Justice Alexandre de Moraes will remain in his role, driven by the absence of procedural momentum toward his removal despite intensifying political pressure. The most recent catalyst—a parliamentary commission (CPI) on organized crime report released this week recommending impeachment of Moraes alongside Justices Dias Toffoli and Gilmar Mendes over alleged interference in Banco Master investigations involving money laundering and his wife's law firm—has fueled opposition calls from Bolsonaro allies like Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, but faces steep Senate hurdles requiring a two-thirds supermajority vote, a threshold unmet in modern STF history. Moraes continues active oversight of high-profile cases, including former President Jair Bolsonaro's, underscoring his institutional entrenchment amid no official resignation signals or binding actions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti