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icon for Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

icon for Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

<1% probabilità
Polymarket

$3,795 Vol.

<1% probabilità
Polymarket

$3,795 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ruben Gallego continues serving his full Senate term as the junior senator from Arizona, which runs through January 2031, with no announced resignation, removal proceedings, health-related vacancy, or other exit triggers evident through late May 2026. Active engagement on foreign policy statements, energy legislation, housing measures, and Native American issues throughout the period has reinforced trader expectations that the seat would remain occupied by the May 31 deadline. This near-certain consensus reflects the absence of standard catalysts for early departure, such as party pressure, ethics investigations, or personal announcements. Only an unforeseen medical event, abrupt personal decision, or rare Senate expulsion vote could have shifted the outcome before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,795
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ruben Gallego continues serving his full Senate term as the junior senator from Arizona, which runs through January 2031, with no announced resignation, removal proceedings, health-related vacancy, or other exit triggers evident through late May 2026. Active engagement on foreign policy statements, energy legislation, housing measures, and Native American issues throughout the period has reinforced trader expectations that the seat would remain occupied by the May 31 deadline. This near-certain consensus reflects the absence of standard catalysts for early departure, such as party pressure, ethics investigations, or personal announcements. Only an unforeseen medical event, abrupt personal decision, or rare Senate expulsion vote could have shifted the outcome before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,795
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

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Domande frequenti

"Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 0% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 0¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 0% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Apr 14, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?" è 0% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 0% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.