Umaru Dikko Radda holds an 88% implied probability as the leading outcome for the 2027 Katsina governorship race due to his status as the incumbent APC governor and the party's unified backing. The Katsina State House of Assembly passed a confidence vote endorsing him in November 2025, followed by his May 2026 pickup of APC expression of interest and nomination forms after a state consensus process. Additional pro-APC endorsements and cross-party defections into the ruling platform have reinforced his position ahead of the general election. Garba Yakubu Lado, positioned at 10.5% and linked to PDP efforts, faces significant structural disadvantages in a state where APC controls the legislature and executive. Other listed candidates reflect broader field uncertainty but trail substantially in trader assessments of primary and electoral viability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
NUOVO
6 feb 2027
Umaru Dikko Radda
89%
Garba Yakubu Lado
10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 feb 2027
Umaru Dikko Radda
$3,565 Vol.
89%
Garba Yakubu Lado
$5,158 Vol.
10%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Katsina State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Umaru Dikko Radda holds an 88% implied probability as the leading outcome for the 2027 Katsina governorship race due to his status as the incumbent APC governor and the party's unified backing. The Katsina State House of Assembly passed a confidence vote endorsing him in November 2025, followed by his May 2026 pickup of APC expression of interest and nomination forms after a state consensus process. Additional pro-APC endorsements and cross-party defections into the ruling platform have reinforced his position ahead of the general election. Garba Yakubu Lado, positioned at 10.5% and linked to PDP efforts, faces significant structural disadvantages in a state where APC controls the legislature and executive. Other listed candidates reflect broader field uncertainty but trail substantially in trader assessments of primary and electoral viability.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Katsina State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
Volume
$8,723Data di fine
6 feb 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Katsina State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Umaru Dikko Radda holds an 88% implied probability as the leading outcome for the 2027 Katsina governorship race due to his status as the incumbent APC governor and the party's unified backing. The Katsina State House of Assembly passed a confidence vote endorsing him in November 2025, followed by his May 2026 pickup of APC expression of interest and nomination forms after a state consensus process. Additional pro-APC endorsements and cross-party defections into the ruling platform have reinforced his position ahead of the general election. Garba Yakubu Lado, positioned at 10.5% and linked to PDP efforts, faces significant structural disadvantages in a state where APC controls the legislature and executive. Other listed candidates reflect broader field uncertainty but trail substantially in trader assessments of primary and electoral viability.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Katsina State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$8,723Data di fine
6 feb 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Umaru Dikko Radda holds an 88% implied probability as the leading outcome for the 2027 Katsina governorship race due to his status as the incumbent APC governor and the party's unified backing. The Katsina State House of Assembly passed a confidence vote endorsing him in November 2025, followed by his May 2026 pickup of APC expression of interest and nomination forms after a state consensus process. Additional pro-APC endorsements and cross-party defections into the ruling platform have reinforced his position ahead of the general election. Garba Yakubu Lado, positioned at 10.5% and linked to PDP efforts, faces significant structural disadvantages in a state where APC controls the legislature and executive. Other listed candidates reflect broader field uncertainty but trail substantially in trader assessments of primary and electoral viability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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