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Politica·Swalwell

Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?

Market icon
Politica·Swalwell

Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?

13% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
13% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Despite multiple high-profile referrals and probes, no criminal charges have been filed against Rep. Eric Swalwell as of mid-April 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 77% for "No" by May 31. The House Ethics Committee launched an investigation on April 13 into sexual misconduct allegations from several accusers, including a recent rape claim prompting a Manhattan DA probe, amid Swalwell's resignation from Congress and dropped California governor bid. A November 2025 DOJ investigation into alleged mortgage fraud remains open without indictment, while March efforts to release old FBI files on his past association with suspected Chinese spy Christine Fang drew legal pushback but yielded no charges. Procedural timelines and evidentiary requirements temper expectations for swift action.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$11
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Despite multiple high-profile referrals and probes, no criminal charges have been filed against Rep. Eric Swalwell as of mid-April 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 77% for "No" by May 31. The House Ethics Committee launched an investigation on April 13 into sexual misconduct allegations from several accusers, including a recent rape claim prompting a Manhattan DA probe, amid Swalwell's resignation from Congress and dropped California governor bid. A November 2025 DOJ investigation into alleged mortgage fraud remains open without indictment, while March efforts to release old FBI files on his past association with suspected Chinese spy Christine Fang drew legal pushback but yielded no charges. Procedural timelines and evidentiary requirements temper expectations for swift action.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$11
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 23% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 23¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 23% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Apr 14, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?" è 23% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 23% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.