Traders assign a 97.5% probability that former FBI Director James Comey will not receive a prison sentence in 2026, reflecting the early procedural posture of his April 2026 federal indictment in North Carolina on two felony counts alleging threats against President Trump via a 2025 Instagram post depicting seashells arranged as “86 47.” A pending motion to dismiss argues the post does not meet the true-threat standard under First Amendment precedent, with the judge expected to rule before the September 30 arraignment and October 21 trial date. An earlier Virginia case charging false statements was dismissed in late 2025 over prosecutorial appointment issues. Legal observers note substantial barriers to conviction and any subsequent sentencing within the calendar year, though denial of dismissal, trial conviction, or additional charges could still shift timelines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
3% probabilità
$158,226 Vol.
$158,226 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
3% probabilità
$158,226 Vol.
$158,226 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 97.5% probability that former FBI Director James Comey will not receive a prison sentence in 2026, reflecting the early procedural posture of his April 2026 federal indictment in North Carolina on two felony counts alleging threats against President Trump via a 2025 Instagram post depicting seashells arranged as “86 47.” A pending motion to dismiss argues the post does not meet the true-threat standard under First Amendment precedent, with the judge expected to rule before the September 30 arraignment and October 21 trial date. An earlier Virginia case charging false statements was dismissed in late 2025 over prosecutorial appointment issues. Legal observers note substantial barriers to conviction and any subsequent sentencing within the calendar year, though denial of dismissal, trial conviction, or additional charges could still shift timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Volume
$158,226Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 97.5% probability that former FBI Director James Comey will not receive a prison sentence in 2026, reflecting the early procedural posture of his April 2026 federal indictment in North Carolina on two felony counts alleging threats against President Trump via a 2025 Instagram post depicting seashells arranged as “86 47.” A pending motion to dismiss argues the post does not meet the true-threat standard under First Amendment precedent, with the judge expected to rule before the September 30 arraignment and October 21 trial date. An earlier Virginia case charging false statements was dismissed in late 2025 over prosecutorial appointment issues. Legal observers note substantial barriers to conviction and any subsequent sentencing within the calendar year, though denial of dismissal, trial conviction, or additional charges could still shift timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$158,226Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 97.5% probability that former FBI Director James Comey will not receive a prison sentence in 2026, reflecting the early procedural posture of his April 2026 federal indictment in North Carolina on two felony counts alleging threats against President Trump via a 2025 Instagram post depicting seashells arranged as “86 47.” A pending motion to dismiss argues the post does not meet the true-threat standard under First Amendment precedent, with the judge expected to rule before the September 30 arraignment and October 21 trial date. An earlier Virginia case charging false statements was dismissed in late 2025 over prosecutorial appointment issues. Legal observers note substantial barriers to conviction and any subsequent sentencing within the calendar year, though denial of dismissal, trial conviction, or additional charges could still shift timelines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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