Bipartisan Senate opposition has solidified trader expectations against a Trump pardon or clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell by year-end. In late July 2026, the chamber unanimously approved a non-binding resolution stating that the convicted sex trafficker should receive no executive relief for her role in Jeffrey Epstein’s crimes against minors. Every Republican joined Democrats in the vote, placing institutional pressure on the administration despite Trump’s prior comments that he had not ruled out reviewing the case or consulting the Department of Justice. Maxwell’s legal team continues to pursue clemency, potentially tied to further Epstein-related testimony, yet the broad political consensus and short remaining timeline through December 2026 reinforce the current 94% implied probability that no pardon will occur.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
6% probabilità
$745,302 Vol.
$745,302 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Sì
6% probabilità
$745,302 Vol.
$745,302 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan Senate opposition has solidified trader expectations against a Trump pardon or clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell by year-end. In late July 2026, the chamber unanimously approved a non-binding resolution stating that the convicted sex trafficker should receive no executive relief for her role in Jeffrey Epstein’s crimes against minors. Every Republican joined Democrats in the vote, placing institutional pressure on the administration despite Trump’s prior comments that he had not ruled out reviewing the case or consulting the Department of Justice. Maxwell’s legal team continues to pursue clemency, potentially tied to further Epstein-related testimony, yet the broad political consensus and short remaining timeline through December 2026 reinforce the current 94% implied probability that no pardon will occur.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
Volume
$745,302Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan Senate opposition has solidified trader expectations against a Trump pardon or clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell by year-end. In late July 2026, the chamber unanimously approved a non-binding resolution stating that the convicted sex trafficker should receive no executive relief for her role in Jeffrey Epstein’s crimes against minors. Every Republican joined Democrats in the vote, placing institutional pressure on the administration despite Trump’s prior comments that he had not ruled out reviewing the case or consulting the Department of Justice. Maxwell’s legal team continues to pursue clemency, potentially tied to further Epstein-related testimony, yet the broad political consensus and short remaining timeline through December 2026 reinforce the current 94% implied probability that no pardon will occur.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$745,302Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Bipartisan Senate opposition has solidified trader expectations against a Trump pardon or clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell by year-end. In late July 2026, the chamber unanimously approved a non-binding resolution stating that the convicted sex trafficker should receive no executive relief for her role in Jeffrey Epstein’s crimes against minors. Every Republican joined Democrats in the vote, placing institutional pressure on the administration despite Trump’s prior comments that he had not ruled out reviewing the case or consulting the Department of Justice. Maxwell’s legal team continues to pursue clemency, potentially tied to further Epstein-related testimony, yet the broad political consensus and short remaining timeline through December 2026 reinforce the current 94% implied probability that no pardon will occur.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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