Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the sender of the February 2016 "I beat Bush" email to Jeffrey Epstein remaining unrevealed by end of 2026 (86.5% implied probability), driven by DOJ resistance following Rep. Ro Khanna's February 12 call for unredaction under the Epstein Files Transparency Act; Acting AG Todd Blanche countered by classifying it as victim information, stalling release amid ongoing Epstein files reviews. Gwendolyn Beck leads alternatives at 9.4% due to her matching 2014 congressional campaign in a single Iowa district that outperformed Jeb Bush's statewide caucus tally, plus archival Epstein ties including photos and donations. Marco Rubio holds 5.7% from initial speculation over his Iowa caucus edge versus Bush, despite poorer district fit; lower odds on Ben Carson, Donald Trump, Rand Paul, and Ted Cruz reflect weaker alignments. No updates since March unredaction deadline passed unresolved.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNot revealed in 2026 89%
Gwendolyn Beck 13.2%
Ben Carson 3.2%
Marco Rubio 1.7%
$12,147 Vol.
$12,147 Vol.

Not revealed in 2026
87%

Gwendolyn Beck
9%

Ben Carson
3%

Marco Rubio
7%

Donald Trump
1%

Rand Paul
1%

Ted Cruz
<1%
Not revealed in 2026 89%
Gwendolyn Beck 13.2%
Ben Carson 3.2%
Marco Rubio 1.7%
$12,147 Vol.
$12,147 Vol.

Not revealed in 2026
87%

Gwendolyn Beck
9%

Ben Carson
3%

Marco Rubio
7%

Donald Trump
1%

Rand Paul
1%

Ted Cruz
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the sender of the February 2016 "I beat Bush" email to Jeffrey Epstein remaining unrevealed by end of 2026 (86.5% implied probability), driven by DOJ resistance following Rep. Ro Khanna's February 12 call for unredaction under the Epstein Files Transparency Act; Acting AG Todd Blanche countered by classifying it as victim information, stalling release amid ongoing Epstein files reviews. Gwendolyn Beck leads alternatives at 9.4% due to her matching 2014 congressional campaign in a single Iowa district that outperformed Jeb Bush's statewide caucus tally, plus archival Epstein ties including photos and donations. Marco Rubio holds 5.7% from initial speculation over his Iowa caucus edge versus Bush, despite poorer district fit; lower odds on Ben Carson, Donald Trump, Rand Paul, and Ted Cruz reflect weaker alignments. No updates since March unredaction deadline passed unresolved.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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