Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's swearing-in as Hungary's prime minister on May 9, 2026, following his Tisza party's supermajority victory (141 seats) in the April 12 parliamentary election, has driven trader consensus to 100% certainty on Polymarket. This landslide ousted Viktor Orbán after 16 years, propelled by voter backlash against economic woes, corruption allegations, and EU tensions, enabling swift National Assembly convening and government formation within constitutional timelines. With Tisza's dominance securing legislative control, challenges like a no-confidence vote or resignation appear remote absent extraordinary developments such as health crises, scandals, or legal challenges to the election results. Upcoming cabinet confirmations and policy rollout could further solidify his position.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Péter Magyar's swearing-in as Hungary's prime minister on May 9, 2026, following his Tisza party's supermajority victory (141 seats) in the April 12 parliamentary election, has driven trader consensus to 100% certainty on Polymarket. This landslide ousted Viktor Orbán after 16 years, propelled by voter backlash against economic woes, corruption allegations, and EU tensions, enabling swift National Assembly convening and government formation within constitutional timelines. With Tisza's dominance securing legislative control, challenges like a no-confidence vote or resignation appear remote absent extraordinary developments such as health crises, scandals, or legal challenges to the election results. Upcoming cabinet confirmations and policy rollout could further solidify his position.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
May 1 2026
Toroczkai accuses Prime‑Minister‑designate Magyar Péter of nepotism after the latter appoints his brother‑in‑law as justice minister, underscoring Toroczkai’s opposition rather
Toroczkai accuses Prime‑Minister‑designate Magyar Péter of nepotism after the latter appoints his brother‑in‑law as justice minister, underscoring Toroczkai’s opposition rather than a leadership bid
Apr 15 2026
After the election, Toroczkai reacted negatively to the results and announced he would appeal the vote count to the European Court of Human Rights, confirming he was not in
László Toroczkai dips to 0%3%
After the election, Toroczkai reacted negatively to the results and announced he would appeal the vote count to the European Court of Human Rights, confirming he was not in contention for the premiership
Apr 12 2026
Hungarian parliamentary elections held; Tisza Party wins but Péter Magyar confirmed as Prime Minister, not Kapitány
Following the elections, Péter Magyar was officially appointed Prime Minister, confirming that Kapitány would not assume the premiership, solidifying the zero
Apr 12 2026
Hungarian parliamentary election results show Péter Magyar’s Tisza Party winning a landslide;
Viktor Orbán plunges to 0%37%
Orbán concedes defeat and congratulates his rival on live TV
Apr 12 2026
Péter Magyar wins a landslide victory in the Hungarian parliamentary election, ending Viktor Orbán's 16 years in power;
Viktor Orbán dips to 0%4%
Orbán concedes defeat by phone
Apr 12 2026
Toroczkai congratulates Facebook for “delivering the first Hungarian prime minister” and stresses that the Tisza Party will “return to power,” but offers no concrete claim to the
Toroczkai congratulates Facebook for “delivering the first Hungarian prime minister” and stresses that the Tisza Party will “return to power,” but offers no concrete claim to the premiership himself
Mar 20 2026
Péter Magyar announces Kapitány will serve as Minister of Economy and Energetics in the prospective Tisza government
István Kapitány dips to 0%1%
Despite the ministerial appointment announcement, market confidence in Kapitány becoming Prime Minister diminished, as he was designated for a ministerial role rather than the premiership, leading to a collapse in his market
Mar 6 2026
Serbian police seize 4 kg of explosives near the TurkStream pipeline;
Viktor Orbán dips to 34%3%
Orbán and Foreign Minister Szijjártó blame Ukraine, but the timing is seen as a last‑minute smear, causing a modest
Feb 11 2026
Media scrutiny highlights Kapitány’s controversial past with Shell’s operations in Nigeria and environmental criticisms
István Kapitány dips to 3%2%
Reports surfaced detailing Kapitány’s involvement in Shell’s projects in Nigeria’s Niger Delta during the 1990s, including links to environmental damage and the repression of activists, which cast doubts on his political viability and ethics.
Jan 15 2026
István Kapitány appointed economic advisor to Péter Magyar and the Tisza Party ahead of the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary elections
István Kapitány rises to 5%4%
Kapitány, former Shell Global Executive Vice President, joined the Tisza Party as chief economic and energy expert, signaling his entry into politics and raising his profile as a potential candidate in the upcoming elections.
Oct 16 2025
Orbán announces preparations for a 2025 Russia‑U.S.
summit after a phone call with Donald Trump, drawing backlash over his Russia‑friendly stance
Sep 1 2025
Toroczkai held his final campaign rally in Budapest;
László Toroczkai dips to 0%1%
media coverage noted his party’s polling at 4‑5 % and the likelihood of missing the parliamentary threshold
Aug 20 2025
Péter Magyar holds a major demonstration in Pannonhalma, announcing a new ten-point program outlining his party’s priorities for the upcoming political season, signaling growing
Péter Magyar rises to 57%3%
Péter Magyar holds a major demonstration in Pannonhalma, announcing a new ten-point program outlining his party’s priorities for the upcoming political season, signaling growing opposition momentum
Aug 13 2025
| Russian SVR accuses EU of targeting Hungary;
Péter Magyar rises to 56%1%
Magyar publicly rebuffs Russian interference, boosting his anti‑foreign‑influence image |
Jul 24 2025
Hungarian President Tamás Sulyok officially set the parliamentary election for 12 April 2026, signalling the end of the pre‑election window for a surprise surge by Toroczkai’s Our
László Toroczkai plunges to 1%49%
Hungarian President Tamás Sulyok officially set the parliamentary election for 12 April 2026, signalling the end of the pre‑election window for a surprise surge by Toroczkai’s Our Homeland Movement
May 9 2025
Prime Minister Orbán delivers the "Tihany Speech," expressing support for Romanian presidential candidate George Simion, sparking criticism and political tension in the Hungarian
Péter Magyar rises to 54%4%
Prime Minister Orbán delivers the "Tihany Speech," expressing support for Romanian presidential candidate George Simion, sparking criticism and political tension in the Hungarian minority community
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's swearing-in as Hungary's prime minister on May 9, 2026, following his Tisza party's supermajority victory (141 seats) in the April 12 parliamentary election, has driven trader consensus to 100% certainty on Polymarket. This landslide ousted Viktor Orbán after 16 years, propelled by voter backlash against economic woes, corruption allegations, and EU tensions, enabling swift National Assembly convening and government formation within constitutional timelines. With Tisza's dominance securing legislative control, challenges like a no-confidence vote or resignation appear remote absent extraordinary developments such as health crises, scandals, or legal challenges to the election results. Upcoming cabinet confirmations and policy rollout could further solidify his position.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Péter Magyar's swearing-in as Hungary's prime minister on May 9, 2026, following his Tisza party's supermajority victory (141 seats) in the April 12 parliamentary election, has driven trader consensus to 100% certainty on Polymarket. This landslide ousted Viktor Orbán after 16 years, propelled by voter backlash against economic woes, corruption allegations, and EU tensions, enabling swift National Assembly convening and government formation within constitutional timelines. With Tisza's dominance securing legislative control, challenges like a no-confidence vote or resignation appear remote absent extraordinary developments such as health crises, scandals, or legal challenges to the election results. Upcoming cabinet confirmations and policy rollout could further solidify his position.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
May 1 2026
Toroczkai accuses Prime‑Minister‑designate Magyar Péter of nepotism after the latter appoints his brother‑in‑law as justice minister, underscoring Toroczkai’s opposition rather
Toroczkai accuses Prime‑Minister‑designate Magyar Péter of nepotism after the latter appoints his brother‑in‑law as justice minister, underscoring Toroczkai’s opposition rather than a leadership bid
Apr 15 2026
After the election, Toroczkai reacted negatively to the results and announced he would appeal the vote count to the European Court of Human Rights, confirming he was not in
László Toroczkai dips to 0%3%
After the election, Toroczkai reacted negatively to the results and announced he would appeal the vote count to the European Court of Human Rights, confirming he was not in contention for the premiership
Apr 12 2026
Hungarian parliamentary elections held; Tisza Party wins but Péter Magyar confirmed as Prime Minister, not Kapitány
Following the elections, Péter Magyar was officially appointed Prime Minister, confirming that Kapitány would not assume the premiership, solidifying the zero
Apr 12 2026
Hungarian parliamentary election results show Péter Magyar’s Tisza Party winning a landslide;
Viktor Orbán plunges to 0%37%
Orbán concedes defeat and congratulates his rival on live TV
Apr 12 2026
Péter Magyar wins a landslide victory in the Hungarian parliamentary election, ending Viktor Orbán's 16 years in power;
Viktor Orbán dips to 0%4%
Orbán concedes defeat by phone
Apr 12 2026
Toroczkai congratulates Facebook for “delivering the first Hungarian prime minister” and stresses that the Tisza Party will “return to power,” but offers no concrete claim to the
Toroczkai congratulates Facebook for “delivering the first Hungarian prime minister” and stresses that the Tisza Party will “return to power,” but offers no concrete claim to the premiership himself
Mar 20 2026
Péter Magyar announces Kapitány will serve as Minister of Economy and Energetics in the prospective Tisza government
István Kapitány dips to 0%1%
Despite the ministerial appointment announcement, market confidence in Kapitány becoming Prime Minister diminished, as he was designated for a ministerial role rather than the premiership, leading to a collapse in his market
Mar 6 2026
Serbian police seize 4 kg of explosives near the TurkStream pipeline;
Viktor Orbán dips to 34%3%
Orbán and Foreign Minister Szijjártó blame Ukraine, but the timing is seen as a last‑minute smear, causing a modest
Feb 11 2026
Media scrutiny highlights Kapitány’s controversial past with Shell’s operations in Nigeria and environmental criticisms
István Kapitány dips to 3%2%
Reports surfaced detailing Kapitány’s involvement in Shell’s projects in Nigeria’s Niger Delta during the 1990s, including links to environmental damage and the repression of activists, which cast doubts on his political viability and ethics.
Jan 15 2026
István Kapitány appointed economic advisor to Péter Magyar and the Tisza Party ahead of the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary elections
István Kapitány rises to 5%4%
Kapitány, former Shell Global Executive Vice President, joined the Tisza Party as chief economic and energy expert, signaling his entry into politics and raising his profile as a potential candidate in the upcoming elections.
Oct 16 2025
Orbán announces preparations for a 2025 Russia‑U.S.
summit after a phone call with Donald Trump, drawing backlash over his Russia‑friendly stance
Sep 1 2025
Toroczkai held his final campaign rally in Budapest;
László Toroczkai dips to 0%1%
media coverage noted his party’s polling at 4‑5 % and the likelihood of missing the parliamentary threshold
Aug 20 2025
Péter Magyar holds a major demonstration in Pannonhalma, announcing a new ten-point program outlining his party’s priorities for the upcoming political season, signaling growing
Péter Magyar rises to 57%3%
Péter Magyar holds a major demonstration in Pannonhalma, announcing a new ten-point program outlining his party’s priorities for the upcoming political season, signaling growing opposition momentum
Aug 13 2025
| Russian SVR accuses EU of targeting Hungary;
Péter Magyar rises to 56%1%
Magyar publicly rebuffs Russian interference, boosting his anti‑foreign‑influence image |
Jul 24 2025
Hungarian President Tamás Sulyok officially set the parliamentary election for 12 April 2026, signalling the end of the pre‑election window for a surprise surge by Toroczkai’s Our
László Toroczkai plunges to 1%49%
Hungarian President Tamás Sulyok officially set the parliamentary election for 12 April 2026, signalling the end of the pre‑election window for a surprise surge by Toroczkai’s Our Homeland Movement
May 9 2025
Prime Minister Orbán delivers the "Tihany Speech," expressing support for Romanian presidential candidate George Simion, sparking criticism and political tension in the Hungarian
Péter Magyar rises to 54%4%
Prime Minister Orbán delivers the "Tihany Speech," expressing support for Romanian presidential candidate George Simion, sparking criticism and political tension in the Hungarian minority community
"Prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Péter Magyar" a 100%, seguito da "Viktor Orbán" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.
Ad oggi, "Prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria" ha generato $101.1 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jul 24, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.
Per fare trading su "Prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.
L'attuale favorito per "Prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria" è "Péter Magyar" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Viktor Orbán" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.
Le regole di risoluzione per "Prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.
Sì. Non è necessario fare trading per restare informati. Questa pagina funziona come un tracker live per "Prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria". Le probabilità degli esiti si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che arrivano nuove operazioni. Puoi aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti e controllare la sezione commenti per vedere cosa dicono gli altri trader. Puoi anche usare i filtri temporali sul grafico per vedere come sono cambiate le quote nel tempo. È una finestra gratuita e in tempo reale su ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.
Le quote di Polymarket sono stabilite da veri trader che investono denaro reale nelle loro convinzioni, il che tende a produrre previsioni accurate. Con $101.1 million scambiati su "Prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria", questi prezzi aggregano la conoscenza collettiva e la convinzione di migliaia di partecipanti — spesso superando sondaggi, previsioni di esperti e indagini tradizionali. I mercati predittivi come Polymarket hanno un forte track record di accuratezza, specialmente man mano che gli eventi si avvicinano alla data di risoluzione. Ad esempio, Polymarket ha un punteggio di accuratezza a un mese di 94%. Per le ultime statistiche sull'accuratezza delle previsioni di Polymarket, visita la pagina accuratezza su Polymarket.
Per piazzare la tua prima operazione su "Prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria", registrati per un account Polymarket gratuito e finanzialo con crypto, carta di credito o debito, o bonifico bancario. Una volta finanziato il tuo account, torna su questa pagina, seleziona l'esito su cui vuoi fare trading, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se sei nuovo ai mercati predittivi, clicca il link "Come funziona" in cima a qualsiasi pagina Polymarket per una guida passo-passo su come funziona il trading.
Su Polymarket, il prezzo di ogni esito rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Un prezzo di 100¢ per "Péter Magyar" nel mercato "Prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria" significa che i trader credono collettivamente che ci sia circa una probabilità di 100% che "Péter Magyar" sia il risultato corretto. Se compri azioni "Sì" a 100¢ e l'esito è corretto, ricevi $1,00 per azione — un profitto di 0¢ per azione. Se errato, quelle azioni valgono $0.
Il mercato "Prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria" è stato risolto. Il risultato finale è stato determinato e il mercato non è più aperto al trading. Puoi comunque consultare le quote storiche, le probabilità degli esiti e i commenti su questa pagina per vedere come si sono evolute le previsioni nel tempo.
Il mercato "Prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria" ha una comunità attiva di 2,076 commenti dove i trader condividono le loro analisi, discutono gli esiti e commentano gli sviluppi dell'ultima ora. Scorri in basso alla sezione commenti per leggere cosa pensano gli altri partecipanti. Puoi anche filtrare per "Maggiori detentori" per vedere su cosa sono posizionati i più grandi trader del mercato, o controllare la scheda "Attività" per un feed in tempo reale delle operazioni.
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