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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari in Libano
Elezioni·Elezioni Principali

Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari in Libano

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari in Libano
Elezioni·Elezioni Principali

Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari in Libano

Movimento Amal (Amal) <1%

Hezbollah (Hezb) <1%

Forze Libanesi (LF) <1%

Movimento Patriottico Libero (FPM) <1%

Polymarket

$677,348 Vol.

Movimento Amal (Amal) <1%

Hezbollah (Hezb) <1%

Forze Libanesi (LF) <1%

Movimento Patriottico Libero (FPM) <1%

Polymarket

$677,348 Vol.

Movimento Amal (Amal)

$63,949 Vol.

1%

Hezbollah (Hezb)

$56,390 Vol.

<1%

Forze Libanesi (LF)

$169,043 Vol.

<1%

Movimento Patriottico Libero (FPM)

$80,534 Vol.

<1%

Partito Socialista Progressista (PSP)

$55,015 Vol.

<1%

Partito Kataeb (Kataeb)

$7,370 Vol.

<1%

Federazione Rivoluzionaria Armena (ARF)

$10,552 Vol.

<1%

Movimento Marada (MM)

$8,688 Vol.

<1%

Movimento per l'Indipendenza (IM)

$8,894 Vol.

<1%

Partito Taqaddom

$11,776 Vol.

<1%

Associazione dei Progetti di Beneficenza Islamica (ICPA)

$9,181 Vol.

<1%

Gruppo Islamico (IG)

$8,631 Vol.

<1%

Partito dell'Unione (UP)

$7,760 Vol.

<1%

Partito Socialista Arabo Ba'ath in Libano (Ba'ath)

$10,710 Vol.

<1%

Partito Nazionale Liberale (NLP)

$9,599 Vol.

<1%

Lana – Partito Socialdemocratico (Lana)

$13,761 Vol.

<1%

Partito Mada (Mada)

$28,113 Vol.

<1%

Khatt Ahmar

$14,166 Vol.

<1%

Organizzazione Nasserista Popolare (PNO)

$9,264 Vol.

<1%

Partito del Dialogo Nazionale (NDP)

$47,398 Vol.

<1%

Movimento Dignità (DM)

$29,195 Vol.

<1%

Alleanza Watani (Watani)

$7,539 Vol.

<1%

ReLebanon

$9,819 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The two-year parliamentary term extension to May 2028, enacted amid the 2026 Israel-Hezbollah conflict and related security disruptions, has left the next general election distant and subject to evolving conditions. Lebanon's confessional electoral system and history of fragmented coalitions sustain a wide field of contenders, with no bloc holding a clear path to a majority of the 128 seats. Recent confidence votes for the Salam government highlighted divisions within the Shiite alliance, as Amal supported the cabinet while Hezbollah withdrew from proceedings, alongside ongoing U.S.-mediated border talks and reconstruction priorities that could reshape alliances ahead of the vote. Shifts in regional diplomacy, economic reforms, or internal party realignments remain the main variables that might consolidate support behind any single outcome.

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb).

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$677,348
Data di fine
1 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 4:50 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The two-year parliamentary term extension to May 2028, enacted amid the 2026 Israel-Hezbollah conflict and related security disruptions, has left the next general election distant and subject to evolving conditions. Lebanon's confessional electoral system and history of fragmented coalitions sustain a wide field of contenders, with no bloc holding a clear path to a majority of the 128 seats. Recent confidence votes for the Salam government highlighted divisions within the Shiite alliance, as Amal supported the cabinet while Hezbollah withdrew from proceedings, alongside ongoing U.S.-mediated border talks and reconstruction priorities that could reshape alliances ahead of the vote. Shifts in regional diplomacy, economic reforms, or internal party realignments remain the main variables that might consolidate support behind any single outcome.

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb).

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$677,348
Data di fine
1 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 4:50 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...

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"Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari in Libano" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 23 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Movimento Amal (Amal)" a 1%, seguito da "Hezbollah (Hezb)" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 1¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 1% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari in Libano" ha generato $677.3K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jan 6, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari in Libano", esplora i 23 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

Questo è un mercato molto aperto. L'attuale leader per "Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari in Libano" è "Movimento Amal (Amal)" a solo 1%, con "Hezbollah (Hezb)" vicino a 0%. Con nessun esito che detiene una forte maggioranza, i trader vedono questo come altamente incerto, il che può presentare opportunità di trading uniche. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale, quindi aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per vedere come si evolvono le probabilità.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari in Libano" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.