Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus holds a dominant 90.5% implied probability in the Campeche governor election market due to Morena’s early August 2026 designation of the Ciudad del Carmen mayor (with license) as coordinator for the defense of the Fourth Transformation. This move, backed by incumbent governor Layda Sansores, consolidated party support ahead of the June 2027 vote and positioned him as the clear frontrunner in internal surveys. Recent polling shows the Morena-PT-PVEM alliance leading overall preferences, with Gutiérrez far ahead of rivals such as Eliseo Fernández Montúfar of Movimiento Ciudadano. Factors that could narrow the gap include opposition coalition gains, shifts in voter identification toward Movimiento Ciudadano, or late developments in the multi-candidate field before the official campaign period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPablo Gutiérrez Lazarus 87%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar 6.2%
Carlos Ucán Yam <1%
Aníbal Ostoa Ortega <1%
$27,544 Vol.
$27,544 Vol.
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus
87%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar
6%
Carlos Ucán Yam
1%
Aníbal Ostoa Ortega
1%
Biby Rabelo de la Torre
1%
Daniel Barreda Pavón
1%
Andrés Fernández del Valle
<1%
Nelly Márquez Zapata
<1%
Emilio Lara Calderón
<1%
Christian Castro Bello
<1%
Ricardo Medina Farfán
<1%
Liz Hernández Romero
<1%
Armando Toledo Jamit
<1%
Yolanda Valladares Valle
<1%
Pablo Angulo Briceño
<1%
Rosario Cruz Hernández
<1%
Laura Baqueiro Ramos
<1%
Salvador Farías González
<1%
Dulce Dorantes Cervera
<1%
Martina Kantún Can
<1%
Rocío Abreu Artiñano
<1%
Gerardo Sánchez Sansores
<1%
Paul Arce Ontiveros
<1%
Ariana Rejón Lara
<1%
Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora
<1%
Francisco Farías Bailón
<1%
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus 87%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar 6.2%
Carlos Ucán Yam <1%
Aníbal Ostoa Ortega <1%
$27,544 Vol.
$27,544 Vol.
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus
87%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar
6%
Carlos Ucán Yam
1%
Aníbal Ostoa Ortega
1%
Biby Rabelo de la Torre
1%
Daniel Barreda Pavón
1%
Andrés Fernández del Valle
<1%
Nelly Márquez Zapata
<1%
Emilio Lara Calderón
<1%
Christian Castro Bello
<1%
Ricardo Medina Farfán
<1%
Liz Hernández Romero
<1%
Armando Toledo Jamit
<1%
Yolanda Valladares Valle
<1%
Pablo Angulo Briceño
<1%
Rosario Cruz Hernández
<1%
Laura Baqueiro Ramos
<1%
Salvador Farías González
<1%
Dulce Dorantes Cervera
<1%
Martina Kantún Can
<1%
Rocío Abreu Artiñano
<1%
Gerardo Sánchez Sansores
<1%
Paul Arce Ontiveros
<1%
Ariana Rejón Lara
<1%
Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora
<1%
Francisco Farías Bailón
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 7:21 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus holds a dominant 90.5% implied probability in the Campeche governor election market due to Morena’s early August 2026 designation of the Ciudad del Carmen mayor (with license) as coordinator for the defense of the Fourth Transformation. This move, backed by incumbent governor Layda Sansores, consolidated party support ahead of the June 2027 vote and positioned him as the clear frontrunner in internal surveys. Recent polling shows the Morena-PT-PVEM alliance leading overall preferences, with Gutiérrez far ahead of rivals such as Eliseo Fernández Montúfar of Movimiento Ciudadano. Factors that could narrow the gap include opposition coalition gains, shifts in voter identification toward Movimiento Ciudadano, or late developments in the multi-candidate field before the official campaign period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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