Flavio Bolsonaro’s search for a 2026 running mate remains fluid days before the August 5 deadline, as the Liberal Party nominee has yet to secure a Centrão alliance that would deliver broader congressional support and broadcast time. Efforts to recruit Tereza Cristina fell through after the Progressives Party opted for neutrality, while internal discussions have elevated PL senators Rogério Marinho and Marcos Pontes as leading internal options alongside other names such as Júlia Zanatta and Damares Alves. This wide field and absence of a confirmed frontrunner sustain closely matched trader pricing across dozens of outcomes, with momentum likely to shift only after a formal announcement or last-minute party federation deal.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRogério Marinho 41%
Simone Marquetto 37%
Clarissa Tércio 37%
Daniella Marques 37%

Rogério Marinho
41%

Simone Marquetto
37%

Clarissa Tércio
37%

Daniella Marques
37%

Marcos Pontes
36%

Júlia Zanatta
36%

Priscila Costa
36%

Tereza Cristina
35%

Damares Alves
35%

Renata Abreu
36%

Gilson Machado
35%

Michelle Bolsonaro
33%

Bia Kicis
35%

Rosana Valle
35%
Rogério Marinho 41%
Simone Marquetto 37%
Clarissa Tércio 37%
Daniella Marques 37%

Rogério Marinho
41%

Simone Marquetto
37%

Clarissa Tércio
37%

Daniella Marques
37%

Marcos Pontes
36%

Júlia Zanatta
36%

Priscila Costa
36%

Tereza Cristina
35%

Damares Alves
35%

Renata Abreu
36%

Gilson Machado
35%

Michelle Bolsonaro
33%

Bia Kicis
35%

Rosana Valle
35%
An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Flavio Bolsonaro’s search for a 2026 running mate remains fluid days before the August 5 deadline, as the Liberal Party nominee has yet to secure a Centrão alliance that would deliver broader congressional support and broadcast time. Efforts to recruit Tereza Cristina fell through after the Progressives Party opted for neutrality, while internal discussions have elevated PL senators Rogério Marinho and Marcos Pontes as leading internal options alongside other names such as Júlia Zanatta and Damares Alves. This wide field and absence of a confirmed frontrunner sustain closely matched trader pricing across dozens of outcomes, with momentum likely to shift only after a formal announcement or last-minute party federation deal.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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