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icon for Prossime elezioni del Senato del Brasile: la maggior parte dei seggi
Politica·Elezioni Mondiali

Prossime elezioni del Senato del Brasile: la maggior parte dei seggi

icon for Prossime elezioni del Senato del Brasile: la maggior parte dei seggi
Politica·Elezioni Mondiali

Prossime elezioni del Senato del Brasile: la maggior parte dei seggi

PL 90%

MDB 2.5%

UNIÃO 2.4%

NOVO 2.1%

Polymarket

$52,957 Vol.

PL 90%

MDB 2.5%

UNIÃO 2.4%

NOVO 2.1%

Polymarket

$52,957 Vol.

icon for PL

PL

$35,721 Vol.

90%

icon for MDB

MDB

$1,353 Vol.

3%

icon for UNIÃO

UNIÃO

$1,007 Vol.

2%

icon for NOVO

NOVO

$1,118 Vol.

2%

icon for PP

PP

$1,800 Vol.

1%

icon for PSD

PSD

$1,272 Vol.

1%

icon for PSDB

PSDB

$1,165 Vol.

1%

icon for PDT

PDT

$4,775 Vol.

1%

icon for PT

PT

$1,176 Vol.

<1%

icon for PODEMOS

PODEMOS

$1,383 Vol.

<1%

icon for REPUBLICANOS

REPUBLICANOS

$931 Vol.

<1%

icon for PSB

PSB

$1,255 Vol.

<1%

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election. All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).PL maintains a dominant position in trader consensus for the most seats in Brazil’s October 4, 2026, Senate election, which renews 54 of 81 seats through plurality voting in each state and the Federal District. Statistical models updated September 12 project PL finishing with roughly 21 seats, well ahead of rivals, driven by its existing 16-seat bloc, successful candidate recruitment in multiple states, and strong polling leads for its nominees in key contests such as Santa Catarina, Acre, and the Federal District. Other parties including MDB, UNIÃO, and NOVO trail significantly in aggregated state-level data, reflecting more limited gains despite targeted candidacies. The market’s heavy weighting toward PL aligns with these patterns of incumbency retention and localized momentum entering the final weeks.

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.

This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.

All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election. All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).
Volume
$52,957
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election. All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).PL maintains a dominant position in trader consensus for the most seats in Brazil’s October 4, 2026, Senate election, which renews 54 of 81 seats through plurality voting in each state and the Federal District. Statistical models updated September 12 project PL finishing with roughly 21 seats, well ahead of rivals, driven by its existing 16-seat bloc, successful candidate recruitment in multiple states, and strong polling leads for its nominees in key contests such as Santa Catarina, Acre, and the Federal District. Other parties including MDB, UNIÃO, and NOVO trail significantly in aggregated state-level data, reflecting more limited gains despite targeted candidacies. The market’s heavy weighting toward PL aligns with these patterns of incumbency retention and localized momentum entering the final weeks.

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.

This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.

All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election. All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).
Volume
$52,957
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...

Correlati

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Il Partido Liberal (PL) vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle prossime elezioni del Senato brasiliano?

84%
Sì
icon for Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?

Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?

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Michelle Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

85%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Prossime elezioni del Senato del Brasile: la maggior parte dei seggi" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 12 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "PL" a 90%, seguito da "MDB" a 3%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 90¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 90% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Prossime elezioni del Senato del Brasile: la maggior parte dei seggi" ha generato $53K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Feb 11, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Prossime elezioni del Senato del Brasile: la maggior parte dei seggi", esplora i 12 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Prossime elezioni del Senato del Brasile: la maggior parte dei seggi" è "PL" a 90%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 90% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "MDB" a 3%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Prossime elezioni del Senato del Brasile: la maggior parte dei seggi" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.