**PQ leads Quebec's October 5, 2026, provincial election as the consistent polling frontrunner, with recent surveys placing it at 28-30% support ahead of the CAQ's 24-27% surge.** The Parti Québécois under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon has held a months-long advantage among francophone voters, its core base, supporting stronger seat projections despite a fragmented National Assembly. The Coalition Avenir Québec, now led by Premier Christine Fréchette since April 2026, has narrowed the gap in the campaign's opening days through gains in Montreal suburbs and among older voters, aided by voter focus on the Canada-U.S. trade tensions. The Quebec Liberal Party trails further back at roughly 20-22%, with limited francophone support, while the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire remain in single digits. Traders price the PQ as the clear favorite based on sustained popular-vote leads and regional dynamics that favor it in most ridings, though the CAQ's momentum and the short campaign window keep a narrower path open for an upset. The election occurs under a new electoral map with 127 divisions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni generali del Quebec
Vincitore delle elezioni generali del Quebec
PQ 66%
CAQ 31%
PLQ 6%
PCQ <1%
$869,545 Vol.
$869,545 Vol.
4 ott 2026
PQ
66%
CAQ
31%
PLQ
6%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 66%
CAQ 31%
PLQ 6%
PCQ <1%
$869,545 Vol.
$869,545 Vol.
4 ott 2026
PQ
$110,836 Vol.
66%
CAQ
$134,994 Vol.
31%
PLQ
$121,391 Vol.
6%
PCQ
$240,279 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$157,522 Vol.
<1%
QS
$104,523 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**PQ leads Quebec's October 5, 2026, provincial election as the consistent polling frontrunner, with recent surveys placing it at 28-30% support ahead of the CAQ's 24-27% surge.** The Parti Québécois under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon has held a months-long advantage among francophone voters, its core base, supporting stronger seat projections despite a fragmented National Assembly. The Coalition Avenir Québec, now led by Premier Christine Fréchette since April 2026, has narrowed the gap in the campaign's opening days through gains in Montreal suburbs and among older voters, aided by voter focus on the Canada-U.S. trade tensions.
The Quebec Liberal Party trails further back at roughly 20-22%, with limited francophone support, while the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire remain in single digits. Traders price the PQ as the clear favorite based on sustained popular-vote leads and regional dynamics that favor it in most ridings, though the CAQ's momentum and the short campaign window keep a narrower path open for an upset. The election occurs under a new electoral map with 127 divisions.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercato aperto: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$869,545Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**PQ leads Quebec's October 5, 2026, provincial election as the consistent polling frontrunner, with recent surveys placing it at 28-30% support ahead of the CAQ's 24-27% surge.** The Parti Québécois under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon has held a months-long advantage among francophone voters, its core base, supporting stronger seat projections despite a fragmented National Assembly. The Coalition Avenir Québec, now led by Premier Christine Fréchette since April 2026, has narrowed the gap in the campaign's opening days through gains in Montreal suburbs and among older voters, aided by voter focus on the Canada-U.S. trade tensions.
The Quebec Liberal Party trails further back at roughly 20-22%, with limited francophone support, while the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire remain in single digits. Traders price the PQ as the clear favorite based on sustained popular-vote leads and regional dynamics that favor it in most ridings, though the CAQ's momentum and the short campaign window keep a narrower path open for an upset. The election occurs under a new electoral map with 127 divisions.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$869,545Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...**PQ leads Quebec's October 5, 2026, provincial election as the consistent polling frontrunner, with recent surveys placing it at 28-30% support ahead of the CAQ's 24-27% surge.** The Parti Québécois under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon has held a months-long advantage among francophone voters, its core base, supporting stronger seat projections despite a fragmented National Assembly. The Coalition Avenir Québec, now led by Premier Christine Fréchette since April 2026, has narrowed the gap in the campaign's opening days through gains in Montreal suburbs and among older voters, aided by voter focus on the Canada-U.S. trade tensions. The Quebec Liberal Party trails further back at roughly 20-22%, with limited francophone support, while the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire remain in single digits. Traders price the PQ as the clear favorite based on sustained popular-vote leads and regional dynamics that favor it in most ridings, though the CAQ's momentum and the short campaign window keep a narrower path open for an upset. The election occurs under a new electoral map with 127 divisions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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