Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular vote intentions around 30 percent, driven by strong Francophone support, while the Quebec Liberal Party trails closely and the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained ground under new leader Christine Fréchette. These trends, combined with historical seat distribution patterns favoring the PQ in a fragmented field, underpin the current trader consensus on its path to the most seats in the National Assembly. The October 2026 election timeline leaves room for further shifts from campaign dynamics or regional turnout variations among key voter blocs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni generali del Quebec
Vincitore delle elezioni generali del Quebec
PQ 57%
PLQ 25%
CAQ 18%
PCQ <1%
$537,083 Vol.
$537,083 Vol.
5 ott 2026
PQ
57%
PLQ
25%
CAQ
18%
PCQ
1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 57%
PLQ 25%
CAQ 18%
PCQ <1%
$537,083 Vol.
$537,083 Vol.
5 ott 2026
PQ
$55,291 Vol.
57%
PLQ
$58,052 Vol.
25%
CAQ
$66,263 Vol.
18%
PCQ
$166,468 Vol.
1%
QS
$69,240 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$121,768 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular vote intentions around 30 percent, driven by strong Francophone support, while the Quebec Liberal Party trails closely and the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained ground under new leader Christine Fréchette. These trends, combined with historical seat distribution patterns favoring the PQ in a fragmented field, underpin the current trader consensus on its path to the most seats in the National Assembly. The October 2026 election timeline leaves room for further shifts from campaign dynamics or regional turnout variations among key voter blocs.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercato aperto: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$537,083Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular vote intentions around 30 percent, driven by strong Francophone support, while the Quebec Liberal Party trails closely and the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained ground under new leader Christine Fréchette. These trends, combined with historical seat distribution patterns favoring the PQ in a fragmented field, underpin the current trader consensus on its path to the most seats in the National Assembly. The October 2026 election timeline leaves room for further shifts from campaign dynamics or regional turnout variations among key voter blocs.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$537,083Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular vote intentions around 30 percent, driven by strong Francophone support, while the Quebec Liberal Party trails closely and the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained ground under new leader Christine Fréchette. These trends, combined with historical seat distribution patterns favoring the PQ in a fragmented field, underpin the current trader consensus on its path to the most seats in the National Assembly. The October 2026 election timeline leaves room for further shifts from campaign dynamics or regional turnout variations among key voter blocs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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