Recent polls for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show a tight three-way contest for first place among Die Linke, CDU, and AfD, with the Greens and SPD trailing further back. This positioning makes third place a closely contested outcome among AfD, Grüne, and CDU, as reflected in current market pricing. Late August surveys indicate Linke holding a narrow edge or tie at the top, keeping the other major parties bunched in the middle of the field and limiting separation for any single contender. Minor parties remain well below the five-percent threshold and show little movement. Upcoming final weeks of campaigning, turnout patterns in key districts, and any late shifts in voter preferences among undecided blocs could still alter the exact ordering within this cluster.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAfD 34%
Grüne 28%
CDU 28%
Linke 9%
$24,269 Vol.
$24,269 Vol.

AfD
34%

Grüne
28%

CDU
28%

Linke
9%

SPD
5%

FDP
<1%

FW
<1%

BSW
<1%
AfD 34%
Grüne 28%
CDU 28%
Linke 9%
$24,269 Vol.
$24,269 Vol.

AfD
34%

Grüne
28%

CDU
28%

Linke
9%

SPD
5%

FDP
<1%

FW
<1%

BSW
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Mercato aperto: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show a tight three-way contest for first place among Die Linke, CDU, and AfD, with the Greens and SPD trailing further back. This positioning makes third place a closely contested outcome among AfD, Grüne, and CDU, as reflected in current market pricing. Late August surveys indicate Linke holding a narrow edge or tie at the top, keeping the other major parties bunched in the middle of the field and limiting separation for any single contender. Minor parties remain well below the five-percent threshold and show little movement. Upcoming final weeks of campaigning, turnout patterns in key districts, and any late shifts in voter preferences among undecided blocs could still alter the exact ordering within this cluster.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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