Former Prince Andrew, now Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor after title revocation in 2025, faces an ongoing UK police investigation for misconduct in public office tied to Epstein files, but remains released under investigation without formal charges since his February 19, 2026 arrest. Traders' 90.5% "No" consensus reflects the absence of indictment, arraignment, or trial date two months later, alongside procedural hurdles like requests for US DOJ evidence cooperation that have yielded no breakthroughs. Recent developments, including his March public appearance and stalled wider sex-trafficking probes, underscore low conviction barriers in such high-profile cases, though late-breaking testimony or diplomatic escalations could alter odds before any potential resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$205,745 Vol.
$205,745 Vol.
Sì
$205,745 Vol.
$205,745 Vol.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Former Prince Andrew, now Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor after title revocation in 2025, faces an ongoing UK police investigation for misconduct in public office tied to Epstein files, but remains released under investigation without formal charges since his February 19, 2026 arrest. Traders' 90.5% "No" consensus reflects the absence of indictment, arraignment, or trial date two months later, alongside procedural hurdles like requests for US DOJ evidence cooperation that have yielded no breakthroughs. Recent developments, including his March public appearance and stalled wider sex-trafficking probes, underscore low conviction barriers in such high-profile cases, though late-breaking testimony or diplomatic escalations could alter odds before any potential resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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