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icon for Chi sarà il prossimo segretario dell'esercito di Trump?

Chi sarà il prossimo segretario dell'esercito di Trump?

icon for Chi sarà il prossimo segretario dell'esercito di Trump?

Chi sarà il prossimo segretario dell'esercito di Trump?

Adam Telle 31%

Sean Parnell 31%

Michael Obadal 26%

W. Jordan Gillis 19%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Adam Telle 31%

Sean Parnell 31%

Michael Obadal 26%

W. Jordan Gillis 19%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Adam Telle

$0 Vol.

31%

Sean Parnell

$0 Vol.

31%

Michael Obadal

$0 Vol.

26%

W. Jordan Gillis

$0 Vol.

19%

Brent Ingraham

$0 Vol.

14%

Brian Mast

$0 Vol.

13%

Charles Young III

$0 Vol.

13%

Marc Andersen

$0 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Pentagon leadership turnover following Army Secretary Dan Driscoll’s resignation has left multiple candidates in contention for the permanent role, with acting appointee Adam Telle, Pentagon spokesperson Sean Parnell, Army Comptroller Marc Andersen, and Undersecretary Michael Obadal among those under consideration. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s allies have actively promoted Parnell while questioning others, creating internal friction, while White House officials weigh factors such as modernization priorities, congressional relations, and confirmation prospects. The fragmented trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether the administration will elevate the current acting leader, favor a Hegseth-aligned veteran, or select a budget or special operations official, with Senate Armed Services Committee review likely to influence the outcome once a formal nomination occurs.

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.

If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Data di fine
19 gen 2029
Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Pentagon leadership turnover following Army Secretary Dan Driscoll’s resignation has left multiple candidates in contention for the permanent role, with acting appointee Adam Telle, Pentagon spokesperson Sean Parnell, Army Comptroller Marc Andersen, and Undersecretary Michael Obadal among those under consideration. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s allies have actively promoted Parnell while questioning others, creating internal friction, while White House officials weigh factors such as modernization priorities, congressional relations, and confirmation prospects. The fragmented trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether the administration will elevate the current acting leader, favor a Hegseth-aligned veteran, or select a budget or special operations official, with Senate Armed Services Committee review likely to influence the outcome once a formal nomination occurs.

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.

If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Data di fine
19 gen 2029
Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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"Chi sarà il prossimo segretario dell'esercito di Trump?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Adam Telle" a 31%, seguito da "Sean Parnell" a 31%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 31¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 31% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Chi sarà il prossimo segretario dell'esercito di Trump?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 15, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Chi sarà il prossimo segretario dell'esercito di Trump?", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi sarà il prossimo segretario dell'esercito di Trump?" è "Adam Telle" a 31%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 31% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Sean Parnell" a 31%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi sarà il prossimo segretario dell'esercito di Trump?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.