Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Supreme Court vacancy in 2026 at 56% Yes, reflecting recent health concerns for Justice Samuel Alito, 76, hospitalized for dehydration in early April, which intensified retirement speculation amid his 20-year tenure milestone. With President Trump in office and Republicans controlling the Senate, conservative justices Alito and Clarence Thomas, 77, weigh strategic timing to retire before the November 2026 midterms, enabling swift confirmation hearings for replacements and preserving the 6-3 conservative majority. Trump affirmed on April 15 readiness for such moves, citing past lessons like Justice Ginsburg's delay, though no official announcements have materialized and outcomes remain unpredictable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Supreme Court vacancy in 2026 at 56% Yes, reflecting recent health concerns for Justice Samuel Alito, 76, hospitalized for dehydration in early April, which intensified retirement speculation amid his 20-year tenure milestone. With President Trump in office and Republicans controlling the Senate, conservative justices Alito and Clarence Thomas, 77, weigh strategic timing to retire before the November 2026 midterms, enabling swift confirmation hearings for replacements and preserving the 6-3 conservative majority. Trump affirmed on April 15 readiness for such moves, citing past lessons like Justice Ginsburg's delay, though no official announcements have materialized and outcomes remain unpredictable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ET
Volume
$3,651Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Supreme Court vacancy in 2026 at 56% Yes, reflecting recent health concerns for Justice Samuel Alito, 76, hospitalized for dehydration in early April, which intensified retirement speculation amid his 20-year tenure milestone. With President Trump in office and Republicans controlling the Senate, conservative justices Alito and Clarence Thomas, 77, weigh strategic timing to retire before the November 2026 midterms, enabling swift confirmation hearings for replacements and preserving the 6-3 conservative majority. Trump affirmed on April 15 readiness for such moves, citing past lessons like Justice Ginsburg's delay, though no official announcements have materialized and outcomes remain unpredictable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,651Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Supreme Court vacancy in 2026 at 56% Yes, reflecting recent health concerns for Justice Samuel Alito, 76, hospitalized for dehydration in early April, which intensified retirement speculation amid his 20-year tenure milestone. With President Trump in office and Republicans controlling the Senate, conservative justices Alito and Clarence Thomas, 77, weigh strategic timing to retire before the November 2026 midterms, enabling swift confirmation hearings for replacements and preserving the 6-3 conservative majority. Trump affirmed on April 15 readiness for such moves, citing past lessons like Justice Ginsburg's delay, though no official announcements have materialized and outcomes remain unpredictable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti