Traders price a 97.3% implied probability against the Federal Reserve being abolished before 2027, driven by the central bank’s statutory foundation under the 1913 Federal Reserve Act and the high legislative threshold for dissolution. Any elimination would require congressional action amid entrenched bipartisan support for independent monetary policy, plus significant risks of financial-market instability during a transition. Current Federal Open Market Committee communications and ongoing inflation and labor-market management reinforce operational continuity through at least the next 18 months. While low-probability tail risks such as an unforeseen constitutional challenge or radical congressional overhaul remain theoretically possible, they lack realistic near-term catalysts given the Fed’s embedded role in the U.S. financial system.