No legislation has advanced to amend the Military Selective Service Act and grant the president induction authority for 2026, leaving the all-volunteer force intact despite updates to Selective Service registration under the fiscal year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act. That measure, signed in December 2025, automates database maintenance for contingency planning but explicitly stops short of authorizing conscription. Bipartisan congressional majorities and administration statements have reinforced reliance on voluntary recruitment, even amid ongoing international tensions. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent reflects this structural barrier. A sudden national emergency exceeding volunteer capacity could still prompt rapid congressional action to restore the draft before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
5% probabilità
$517,755 Vol.
$517,755 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
5% probabilità
$517,755 Vol.
$517,755 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No legislation has advanced to amend the Military Selective Service Act and grant the president induction authority for 2026, leaving the all-volunteer force intact despite updates to Selective Service registration under the fiscal year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act. That measure, signed in December 2025, automates database maintenance for contingency planning but explicitly stops short of authorizing conscription. Bipartisan congressional majorities and administration statements have reinforced reliance on voluntary recruitment, even amid ongoing international tensions. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent reflects this structural barrier. A sudden national emergency exceeding volunteer capacity could still prompt rapid congressional action to restore the draft before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
Volume
$517,755Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No legislation has advanced to amend the Military Selective Service Act and grant the president induction authority for 2026, leaving the all-volunteer force intact despite updates to Selective Service registration under the fiscal year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act. That measure, signed in December 2025, automates database maintenance for contingency planning but explicitly stops short of authorizing conscription. Bipartisan congressional majorities and administration statements have reinforced reliance on voluntary recruitment, even amid ongoing international tensions. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent reflects this structural barrier. A sudden national emergency exceeding volunteer capacity could still prompt rapid congressional action to restore the draft before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$517,755Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No legislation has advanced to amend the Military Selective Service Act and grant the president induction authority for 2026, leaving the all-volunteer force intact despite updates to Selective Service registration under the fiscal year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act. That measure, signed in December 2025, automates database maintenance for contingency planning but explicitly stops short of authorizing conscription. Bipartisan congressional majorities and administration statements have reinforced reliance on voluntary recruitment, even amid ongoing international tensions. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent reflects this structural barrier. A sudden national emergency exceeding volunteer capacity could still prompt rapid congressional action to restore the draft before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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