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icon for Mojtaba Khamenei apparizione pubblica di...?

Mojtaba Khamenei apparizione pubblica di...?

icon for Mojtaba Khamenei apparizione pubblica di...?

Mojtaba Khamenei apparizione pubblica di...?

$6,997,423 Vol.

31 ago 2026
Polymarket

$6,997,423 Vol.

Polymarket

31 agosto

$517,975 Vol.

<1%

30 settembre

$329,088 Vol.

6%

31 ottobre

$2,965 Vol.

12%

31 dicembre

$561,017 Vol.

23%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.**Mojtaba Khamenei has remained absent from any confirmed public appearances since assuming Iran’s supreme leadership in early March 2026 following his father’s death in U.S.-Israeli strikes.** Iranian state media have released only undated archival footage in August 2026 showing him in academic or meeting settings, aimed at addressing health rumors, while President Masoud Pezeshkian has publicly confirmed recent multi-hour meetings and described him as fully healthy and in charge. Senior officials cite security concerns tied to the ongoing conflict as the reason for limited visibility, with communications limited to written statements. Trader sentiment on appearance timelines reflects this sustained opacity, compounded by speculation over injuries sustained in February, the absence from key events such as the former leader’s funeral, and the lack of fresh, verifiable footage or live events that could shift probabilities. Upcoming religious observances or official ceremonies within any resolution window remain potential catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Volume
$6,997,423
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.**Mojtaba Khamenei has remained absent from any confirmed public appearances since assuming Iran’s supreme leadership in early March 2026 following his father’s death in U.S.-Israeli strikes.** Iranian state media have released only undated archival footage in August 2026 showing him in academic or meeting settings, aimed at addressing health rumors, while President Masoud Pezeshkian has publicly confirmed recent multi-hour meetings and described him as fully healthy and in charge. Senior officials cite security concerns tied to the ongoing conflict as the reason for limited visibility, with communications limited to written statements. Trader sentiment on appearance timelines reflects this sustained opacity, compounded by speculation over injuries sustained in February, the absence from key events such as the former leader’s funeral, and the lack of fresh, verifiable footage or live events that could shift probabilities. Upcoming religious observances or official ceremonies within any resolution window remain potential catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Volume
$6,997,423
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

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Domande frequenti

"Mojtaba Khamenei apparizione pubblica di...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 14 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "31 dicembre" a 23%, seguito da "31 ottobre" a 12%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 23¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 23% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Mojtaba Khamenei apparizione pubblica di...?" ha generato $7 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 9, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Mojtaba Khamenei apparizione pubblica di...?", esplora i 14 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Mojtaba Khamenei apparizione pubblica di...?" è "31 dicembre" a 23%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 23% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "31 ottobre" a 12%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Mojtaba Khamenei apparizione pubblica di...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.