The Mecca Joint Defense Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, in Mecca by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective defense under UN Charter principles, treating an attack on one signatory as an attack on all while enhancing military cooperation. Its architects have described the pact as open to additional participants, prompting Polymarket markets on potential joiners by December 31, 2026. Trader sentiment reflects the early stage of diplomacy, with leading probabilities for countries such as Egypt and Qatar remaining in the low teens amid ongoing regional consultations. Key variables include complementary capabilities among prospective members, alignment on Gulf and West Asian security priorities, and clarification that the framework is not intended as a sectarian or anti-Iran axis. Diplomatic signals from OIC states and scheduled bilateral engagements through late 2026 could shift implied probabilities if formal accession talks advance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuali paesi aderiranno all'Accordo della Mecca entro il 31 dicembre?
Quali paesi aderiranno all'Accordo della Mecca entro il 31 dicembre?
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
Sudan
68%
Iraq
53%
Egitto
35%
Siria
29%
Bahrein
21%
Somalia
18%
Qatar
16%
Marocco
16%
Giordania
16%
Iran
11%
Kuwait
11%
Yemen
9%
Emirati Arabi Uniti
9%
Oman
8%
Algeria
7%
Libano
7%
$8,080 Vol.
Sudan
$667 Vol.
68%
Iraq
$689 Vol.
53%
Egitto
$358 Vol.
35%
Siria
$506 Vol.
29%
Bahrein
$538 Vol.
21%
Somalia
$776 Vol.
18%
Qatar
$563 Vol.
16%
Marocco
$1,044 Vol.
16%
Giordania
$526 Vol.
16%
Iran
$1,050 Vol.
11%
Kuwait
$1,323 Vol.
11%
Yemen
$0 Vol.
9%
Emirati Arabi Uniti
$40 Vol.
9%
Oman
$0 Vol.
8%
Algeria
$0 Vol.
7%
Libano
$0 Vol.
7%
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Mecca Joint Defense Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, in Mecca by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective defense under UN Charter principles, treating an attack on one signatory as an attack on all while enhancing military cooperation. Its architects have described the pact as open to additional participants, prompting Polymarket markets on potential joiners by December 31, 2026. Trader sentiment reflects the early stage of diplomacy, with leading probabilities for countries such as Egypt and Qatar remaining in the low teens amid ongoing regional consultations. Key variables include complementary capabilities among prospective members, alignment on Gulf and West Asian security priorities, and clarification that the framework is not intended as a sectarian or anti-Iran axis. Diplomatic signals from OIC states and scheduled bilateral engagements through late 2026 could shift implied probabilities if formal accession talks advance.
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
Volume
$8,080Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Mecca Joint Defense Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, in Mecca by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective defense under UN Charter principles, treating an attack on one signatory as an attack on all while enhancing military cooperation. Its architects have described the pact as open to additional participants, prompting Polymarket markets on potential joiners by December 31, 2026. Trader sentiment reflects the early stage of diplomacy, with leading probabilities for countries such as Egypt and Qatar remaining in the low teens amid ongoing regional consultations. Key variables include complementary capabilities among prospective members, alignment on Gulf and West Asian security priorities, and clarification that the framework is not intended as a sectarian or anti-Iran axis. Diplomatic signals from OIC states and scheduled bilateral engagements through late 2026 could shift implied probabilities if formal accession talks advance.
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,080Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Mecca Joint Defense Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, in Mecca by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective defense under UN Charter principles, treating an attack on one signatory as an attack on all while enhancing military cooperation. Its architects have described the pact as open to additional participants, prompting Polymarket markets on potential joiners by December 31, 2026. Trader sentiment reflects the early stage of diplomacy, with leading probabilities for countries such as Egypt and Qatar remaining in the low teens amid ongoing regional consultations. Key variables include complementary capabilities among prospective members, alignment on Gulf and West Asian security priorities, and clarification that the framework is not intended as a sectarian or anti-Iran axis. Diplomatic signals from OIC states and scheduled bilateral engagements through late 2026 could shift implied probabilities if formal accession talks advance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti