**Trader consensus strongly favors the USD/IRR free-market rate closing above 2.2 million rials per dollar at end-September, reflecting sustained pressure on the rial.** Persistent U.S. sanctions, a naval blockade restricting oil exports, and sharply reduced hard-currency inflows have created a structural shortage of foreign exchange. This combines with elevated inflation—running near 80-90 percent—and weak economic growth to drive ongoing depreciation, keeping street rates near or above 2.3 million in recent weeks. Market participants price in limited near-term reversal given the timeline remaining before month-end. A meaningful move below 2.2 million would require rapid de-escalation of sanctions pressure, a verifiable surge in oil shipments, or credible diplomatic progress that restores foreign-currency supply—developments not currently signaled in official statements or trade data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato2,2M+ 93%
2,1-2,2M 5.1%
2,0-2,1M 1.9%
1,9-2,0M 1.6%
$87,233 Vol.
$87,233 Vol.
30 set 2026
<1,7M
1%
1,7-1,8M
1%
1,8-1,9M
1%
1,9-2,0M
2%
2,0-2,1M
2%
2,1-2,2M
5%
2,2M+
93%
2,2M+ 93%
2,1-2,2M 5.1%
2,0-2,1M 1.9%
1,9-2,0M 1.6%
$87,233 Vol.
$87,233 Vol.
30 set 2026
<1,7M
$4,290 Vol.
1%
1,7-1,8M
$3,912 Vol.
1%
1,8-1,9M
$4,391 Vol.
1%
1,9-2,0M
$5,634 Vol.
2%
2,0-2,1M
$7,115 Vol.
2%
2,1-2,2M
$12,974 Vol.
5%
2,2M+
$48,916 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Trader consensus strongly favors the USD/IRR free-market rate closing above 2.2 million rials per dollar at end-September, reflecting sustained pressure on the rial.** Persistent U.S. sanctions, a naval blockade restricting oil exports, and sharply reduced hard-currency inflows have created a structural shortage of foreign exchange. This combines with elevated inflation—running near 80-90 percent—and weak economic growth to drive ongoing depreciation, keeping street rates near or above 2.3 million in recent weeks. Market participants price in limited near-term reversal given the timeline remaining before month-end. A meaningful move below 2.2 million would require rapid de-escalation of sanctions pressure, a verifiable surge in oil shipments, or credible diplomatic progress that restores foreign-currency supply—developments not currently signaled in official statements or trade data.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volume
$87,233Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Trader consensus strongly favors the USD/IRR free-market rate closing above 2.2 million rials per dollar at end-September, reflecting sustained pressure on the rial.** Persistent U.S. sanctions, a naval blockade restricting oil exports, and sharply reduced hard-currency inflows have created a structural shortage of foreign exchange. This combines with elevated inflation—running near 80-90 percent—and weak economic growth to drive ongoing depreciation, keeping street rates near or above 2.3 million in recent weeks. Market participants price in limited near-term reversal given the timeline remaining before month-end. A meaningful move below 2.2 million would require rapid de-escalation of sanctions pressure, a verifiable surge in oil shipments, or credible diplomatic progress that restores foreign-currency supply—developments not currently signaled in official statements or trade data.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$87,233Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...**Trader consensus strongly favors the USD/IRR free-market rate closing above 2.2 million rials per dollar at end-September, reflecting sustained pressure on the rial.** Persistent U.S. sanctions, a naval blockade restricting oil exports, and sharply reduced hard-currency inflows have created a structural shortage of foreign exchange. This combines with elevated inflation—running near 80-90 percent—and weak economic growth to drive ongoing depreciation, keeping street rates near or above 2.3 million in recent weeks. Market participants price in limited near-term reversal given the timeline remaining before month-end. A meaningful move below 2.2 million would require rapid de-escalation of sanctions pressure, a verifiable surge in oil shipments, or credible diplomatic progress that restores foreign-currency supply—developments not currently signaled in official statements or trade data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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