Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 18% implied probability to the US confirming extraterrestrial life or technology before 2027, driven by escalating government signals without definitive disclosure. President Trump's February directive to declassify UFO, UAP, and alien-related files sparked initial momentum, amplified by the White House's March registration of alien.gov and aliens.gov domains—still inactive amid cryptic "stay tuned" responses. Congresswoman Anna Paulina Luna's push led to an April 14 deadline for 46 classified military UAP videos, including formations over the Persian Gulf, which the Pentagon missed, fueling whistleblower speculation. AARO reports no ET evidence despite 2,000+ cases, underscoring uncertainty. Watch for file releases and Spielberg's June "Disclosure Day" film premiere, which could sway public sentiment and odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$25,142,231 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 dicembre
18%
$25,142,231 Vol.
31 dicembre
$23,200,852 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 18% implied probability to the US confirming extraterrestrial life or technology before 2027, driven by escalating government signals without definitive disclosure. President Trump's February directive to declassify UFO, UAP, and alien-related files sparked initial momentum, amplified by the White House's March registration of alien.gov and aliens.gov domains—still inactive amid cryptic "stay tuned" responses. Congresswoman Anna Paulina Luna's push led to an April 14 deadline for 46 classified military UAP videos, including formations over the Persian Gulf, which the Pentagon missed, fueling whistleblower speculation. AARO reports no ET evidence despite 2,000+ cases, underscoring uncertainty. Watch for file releases and Spielberg's June "Disclosure Day" film premiere, which could sway public sentiment and odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 25, 2025, 1:01 PM ET
Volume
$25,142,231Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 18% implied probability to the US confirming extraterrestrial life or technology before 2027, driven by escalating government signals without definitive disclosure. President Trump's February directive to declassify UFO, UAP, and alien-related files sparked initial momentum, amplified by the White House's March registration of alien.gov and aliens.gov domains—still inactive amid cryptic "stay tuned" responses. Congresswoman Anna Paulina Luna's push led to an April 14 deadline for 46 classified military UAP videos, including formations over the Persian Gulf, which the Pentagon missed, fueling whistleblower speculation. AARO reports no ET evidence despite 2,000+ cases, underscoring uncertainty. Watch for file releases and Spielberg's June "Disclosure Day" film premiere, which could sway public sentiment and odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$25,142,231Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 18% implied probability to the US confirming extraterrestrial life or technology before 2027, driven by escalating government signals without definitive disclosure. President Trump's February directive to declassify UFO, UAP, and alien-related files sparked initial momentum, amplified by the White House's March registration of alien.gov and aliens.gov domains—still inactive amid cryptic "stay tuned" responses. Congresswoman Anna Paulina Luna's push led to an April 14 deadline for 46 classified military UAP videos, including formations over the Persian Gulf, which the Pentagon missed, fueling whistleblower speculation. AARO reports no ET evidence despite 2,000+ cases, underscoring uncertainty. Watch for file releases and Spielberg's June "Disclosure Day" film premiere, which could sway public sentiment and odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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