Current global surveillance from the CDC and WHO shows no novel pathogen exhibiting sustained human-to-human transmission that meets criteria for a pandemic declaration in 2026. Regional outbreaks of Ebola Bundibugyo virus, measles clusters, dengue, and hantavirus remain geographically contained without evidence of exponential international spread, while COVID-19 reproductive numbers trend below 1.0 in most U.S. states. Ongoing monitoring of H5N1 avian influenza and other zoonotic threats has not identified escalation to pandemic potential. These conditions, consistent with annual spillover risk estimates of roughly 3 percent for events on the scale of COVID-19, underpin the market-implied 88.5 percent probability of no new pandemic.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$702,339 Vol.
$702,339 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$702,339 Vol.
$702,339 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.Current global surveillance from the CDC and WHO shows no novel pathogen exhibiting sustained human-to-human transmission that meets criteria for a pandemic declaration in 2026. Regional outbreaks of Ebola Bundibugyo virus, measles clusters, dengue, and hantavirus remain geographically contained without evidence of exponential international spread, while COVID-19 reproductive numbers trend below 1.0 in most U.S. states. Ongoing monitoring of H5N1 avian influenza and other zoonotic threats has not identified escalation to pandemic potential. These conditions, consistent with annual spillover risk estimates of roughly 3 percent for events on the scale of COVID-19, underpin the market-implied 88.5 percent probability of no new pandemic.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Mercato aperto: Dec 1, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
Volume
$702,339Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.Current global surveillance from the CDC and WHO shows no novel pathogen exhibiting sustained human-to-human transmission that meets criteria for a pandemic declaration in 2026. Regional outbreaks of Ebola Bundibugyo virus, measles clusters, dengue, and hantavirus remain geographically contained without evidence of exponential international spread, while COVID-19 reproductive numbers trend below 1.0 in most U.S. states. Ongoing monitoring of H5N1 avian influenza and other zoonotic threats has not identified escalation to pandemic potential. These conditions, consistent with annual spillover risk estimates of roughly 3 percent for events on the scale of COVID-19, underpin the market-implied 88.5 percent probability of no new pandemic.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Volume
$702,339Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Current global surveillance from the CDC and WHO shows no novel pathogen exhibiting sustained human-to-human transmission that meets criteria for a pandemic declaration in 2026. Regional outbreaks of Ebola Bundibugyo virus, measles clusters, dengue, and hantavirus remain geographically contained without evidence of exponential international spread, while COVID-19 reproductive numbers trend below 1.0 in most U.S. states. Ongoing monitoring of H5N1 avian influenza and other zoonotic threats has not identified escalation to pandemic potential. These conditions, consistent with annual spillover risk estimates of roughly 3 percent for events on the scale of COVID-19, underpin the market-implied 88.5 percent probability of no new pandemic.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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