Trader consensus for no Ebola pandemic in 2026 rests on the contained regional spread of Bundibugyo virus in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, where roughly 3,769 confirmed cases and 1,659 deaths have been reported as of early August amid a World Health Organization-declared public health emergency of international concern. Official assessments rate global transmission risk as low, supported by contact tracing, isolation of over 690 patients, and limited exported cases. Historical patterns show Bundibugyo outbreaks remain smaller than Zaire-strain events, with effective interventions sharply reducing reproductive number. While sustained community transmission or export to high-connectivity regions could alter outcomes before year-end, current epidemiological indicators and surveillance data underpin the 96.7% implied probability against pandemic classification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEbola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
$676,376 Vol.
$676,376 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$676,376 Vol.
$676,376 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus for no Ebola pandemic in 2026 rests on the contained regional spread of Bundibugyo virus in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, where roughly 3,769 confirmed cases and 1,659 deaths have been reported as of early August amid a World Health Organization-declared public health emergency of international concern. Official assessments rate global transmission risk as low, supported by contact tracing, isolation of over 690 patients, and limited exported cases. Historical patterns show Bundibugyo outbreaks remain smaller than Zaire-strain events, with effective interventions sharply reducing reproductive number. While sustained community transmission or export to high-connectivity regions could alter outcomes before year-end, current epidemiological indicators and surveillance data underpin the 96.7% implied probability against pandemic classification.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Volume
$676,376Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus for no Ebola pandemic in 2026 rests on the contained regional spread of Bundibugyo virus in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, where roughly 3,769 confirmed cases and 1,659 deaths have been reported as of early August amid a World Health Organization-declared public health emergency of international concern. Official assessments rate global transmission risk as low, supported by contact tracing, isolation of over 690 patients, and limited exported cases. Historical patterns show Bundibugyo outbreaks remain smaller than Zaire-strain events, with effective interventions sharply reducing reproductive number. While sustained community transmission or export to high-connectivity regions could alter outcomes before year-end, current epidemiological indicators and surveillance data underpin the 96.7% implied probability against pandemic classification.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$676,376Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus for no Ebola pandemic in 2026 rests on the contained regional spread of Bundibugyo virus in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, where roughly 3,769 confirmed cases and 1,659 deaths have been reported as of early August amid a World Health Organization-declared public health emergency of international concern. Official assessments rate global transmission risk as low, supported by contact tracing, isolation of over 690 patients, and limited exported cases. Historical patterns show Bundibugyo outbreaks remain smaller than Zaire-strain events, with effective interventions sharply reducing reproductive number. While sustained community transmission or export to high-connectivity regions could alter outcomes before year-end, current epidemiological indicators and surveillance data underpin the 96.7% implied probability against pandemic classification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti