Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate mostly clear skies and light southwesterly winds over northern Italy on September 20, supporting daytime highs near 27–28°C in Milan amid stable high-pressure conditions. These factors have anchored the 48.5% implied probability on exactly 27°C, with the 24% share on 29°C or higher reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer warming and model spread. Low precipitation chances and dew points around 17°C further limit cooling, while historical September averages near 24–25°C underscore the current anomaly. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours ahead of market resolution will likely refine these odds as observational data tightens.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano il 20 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Milano il 20 settembre?
29°C o superiore 50%
27°C 49%
28°C 37%
26°C 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
19°C o meno
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
13%
26°C
19%
27°C
49%
28°C
37%
29°C o superiore
50%
29°C o superiore 50%
27°C 49%
28°C 37%
26°C 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
19°C o meno
$1,221 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$25 Vol.
4%
25°C
$8 Vol.
13%
26°C
$109 Vol.
19%
27°C
$204 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
37%
29°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate mostly clear skies and light southwesterly winds over northern Italy on September 20, supporting daytime highs near 27–28°C in Milan amid stable high-pressure conditions. These factors have anchored the 48.5% implied probability on exactly 27°C, with the 24% share on 29°C or higher reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer warming and model spread. Low precipitation chances and dew points around 17°C further limit cooling, while historical September averages near 24–25°C underscore the current anomaly. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours ahead of market resolution will likely refine these odds as observational data tightens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,702Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate mostly clear skies and light southwesterly winds over northern Italy on September 20, supporting daytime highs near 27–28°C in Milan amid stable high-pressure conditions. These factors have anchored the 48.5% implied probability on exactly 27°C, with the 24% share on 29°C or higher reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer warming and model spread. Low precipitation chances and dew points around 17°C further limit cooling, while historical September averages near 24–25°C underscore the current anomaly. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours ahead of market resolution will likely refine these odds as observational data tightens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,702Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate mostly clear skies and light southwesterly winds over northern Italy on September 20, supporting daytime highs near 27–28°C in Milan amid stable high-pressure conditions. These factors have anchored the 48.5% implied probability on exactly 27°C, with the 24% share on 29°C or higher reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer warming and model spread. Low precipitation chances and dew points around 17°C further limit cooling, while historical September averages near 24–25°C underscore the current anomaly. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours ahead of market resolution will likely refine these odds as observational data tightens.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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