Recent model guidance from sources including MetService and ECMWF indicates a mild northerly airflow over Wellington on September 18, supporting daytime maxima near 14–16 °C through warm-air advection and limited cloud cover. Northerly winds enhance mixing and reduce nocturnal cooling while allowing greater daytime solar heating on mostly sunny conditions, yet small shifts in the timing of any southerly change or increased low-level moisture could cap the peak at 13 °C or push it to 17 °C. Historical September averages of roughly 12–15 °C provide context, but trader-implied odds remain evenly distributed because ensemble spreads and the final official observation still carry meaningful uncertainty ahead of the next forecast updates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 18 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 18 settembre?
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
14°C 22%
17°C 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
9°C o meno
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
6%
13°C
9%
14°C
22%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
18%
18°C
6%
19°C o superiore
4%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
14°C 22%
17°C 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
9°C o meno
$0 Vol.
2%
10°C
$0 Vol.
2%
11°C
$0 Vol.
2%
12°C
$0 Vol.
6%
13°C
$0 Vol.
9%
14°C
$0 Vol.
22%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
18%
18°C
$0 Vol.
6%
19°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from sources including MetService and ECMWF indicates a mild northerly airflow over Wellington on September 18, supporting daytime maxima near 14–16 °C through warm-air advection and limited cloud cover. Northerly winds enhance mixing and reduce nocturnal cooling while allowing greater daytime solar heating on mostly sunny conditions, yet small shifts in the timing of any southerly change or increased low-level moisture could cap the peak at 13 °C or push it to 17 °C. Historical September averages of roughly 12–15 °C provide context, but trader-implied odds remain evenly distributed because ensemble spreads and the final official observation still carry meaningful uncertainty ahead of the next forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from sources including MetService and ECMWF indicates a mild northerly airflow over Wellington on September 18, supporting daytime maxima near 14–16 °C through warm-air advection and limited cloud cover. Northerly winds enhance mixing and reduce nocturnal cooling while allowing greater daytime solar heating on mostly sunny conditions, yet small shifts in the timing of any southerly change or increased low-level moisture could cap the peak at 13 °C or push it to 17 °C. Historical September averages of roughly 12–15 °C provide context, but trader-implied odds remain evenly distributed because ensemble spreads and the final official observation still carry meaningful uncertainty ahead of the next forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance from sources including MetService and ECMWF indicates a mild northerly airflow over Wellington on September 18, supporting daytime maxima near 14–16 °C through warm-air advection and limited cloud cover. Northerly winds enhance mixing and reduce nocturnal cooling while allowing greater daytime solar heating on mostly sunny conditions, yet small shifts in the timing of any southerly change or increased low-level moisture could cap the peak at 13 °C or push it to 17 °C. Historical September averages of roughly 12–15 °C provide context, but trader-implied odds remain evenly distributed because ensemble spreads and the final official observation still carry meaningful uncertainty ahead of the next forecast updates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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